Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Panov Variation
541 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds
60.9%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 64.3%.
Measured over 541 games at this level and clock.
A strong choice for Black at this level and clock.
Outcomes for Black
Draw 6.5 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 541 games
- Rank among the families Black can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 541
- Best context
- not measured yet
- Average game length
- 34 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 93.5%
- Draws
- 6.5%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 45.2% at 0-999, 57.1% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | — | ||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | — | ||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 35.7% expected score (2 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (16 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 65.8% expected score (8 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 56.4% expected score (22 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 71.2% expected score (15 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 44.9% expected score (18 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.2% expected score (75 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 65.1% expected score (25 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 45.1% expected score (29 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 67.6% expected score (107 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 56.4% expected score (30 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 18.0% expected score (11 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 70.5% expected score (57 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 63.3% expected score (74 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 79.5% expected score (7 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 64.3% expected score (16 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Panov Variation scores 60.9% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 57.4% and 64.3% — from 541 Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 541+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Panov Variation win rate?
Playing the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Panov Variation, Black wins 57.6%, draws 6.5% and loses 35.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 60.9%. It rests on 541 rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Panov Variation perform best?
The Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Panov Variation performs best for Black at 2200-2499, with an Expected Score of 67.6% (138 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Panov Variation better in blitz or rapid?
For Black, the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Panov Variation scores higher in Rapid: an Expected Score of 62.2% in Blitz (301 games) against 63.8% in Rapid (93 games).
How sharp is the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Panov Variation?
The Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Panov Variation has a sharpness score of 93.5 (decisive), meaning 93.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.
What is the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Panov Variation win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, Black wins 51.8%, draws 6.8% and loses 41.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.2%. It rests on 123 Lichess games, which average 32 moves.
What is the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Panov Variation win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, Black wins 55.7%, draws 5.9% and loses 38.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.7%. It rests on 177 Lichess games, which average 35 moves.
What is the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Panov Variation win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, Black wins 63.4%, draws 8.2% and loses 28.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 67.6%. It rests on 138 Lichess games, which average 38 moves.
What is the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Panov Variation win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, Black wins 58.0%, draws 3.5% and loses 38.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 59.8%. It rests on 127 Lichess games.
What is the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Panov Variation win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, Black wins 58.3%, draws 7.8% and loses 33.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 62.2%. It rests on 301 Lichess games.
Is the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Panov Variation a good opening?
The Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Panov Variation is good for Black. Across all ratings, Black wins 57.6% of its games and loses 35.9%. It performs best at 2200-2499. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.