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Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack

1.3M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score47.1%Range (90% confident): 47.0% – 47.2%Based on 1.3M games
0%47.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.0% – 47.2%
Outcome Distribution
45.3%3.5%51.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...c6
Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack
Analyzen=1.3M
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.5%

What is the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack has a 47.1% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 47.0% and 47.2%), based on 1.3M Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 11.6% · UltraBullet best · Blitz worst

Black Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~44%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 44.0% win rate (144,323 games)
  • 1000-1199: 44.1% win rate (196,535 games)
  • 1200-1399: 45.0% win rate (256,854 games)
  • 1400-1599: 45.9% win rate (269,910 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.4% win rate (243,304 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.1% win rate (148,711 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.0% win rate (40,638 games)
  • 2200-2499: 41.8% win rate (5,881 games)
  • 2500+: 42.3% win rate (480 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (46%), worst in UltraBullet (37%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 36.7% win rate (1,660 games)
  • Bullet: 45.1% win rate (180,415 games)
  • Blitz: 45.6% win rate (767,781 games)
  • Rapid: 44.9% win rate (343,565 games)
  • Classical: 44.2% win rate (13,215 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 35.7% expected score (107 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 45.3% expected score (21,265 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.5% expected score (80,400 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 45.2% expected score (42,146 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 48.3% expected score (405 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 33.8% expected score (261 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 44.8% expected score (26,209 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.0% expected score (118,831 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 46.2% expected score (50,009 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 45.9% expected score (1,225 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 38.1% expected score (611 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 45.5% expected score (32,822 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (153,035 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.4% expected score (67,609 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 45.9% expected score (2,777 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 38.0% expected score (451 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.4% expected score (35,088 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (158,697 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.3% expected score (71,338 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 47.0% expected score (4,336 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 39.0% expected score (166 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (33,792 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (141,356 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.1% expected score (64,839 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 46.1% expected score (3,151 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 37.0% expected score (60 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (20,037 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (88,700 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.5% expected score (38,716 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 46.6% expected score (1,198 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 22.8% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (8,420 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.2% expected score (23,766 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 46.9% expected score (8,332 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 52.2% expected score (116 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.1% expected score (2,421 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 43.4% expected score (2,885 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 41.5% expected score (568 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (361 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 40.7% expected score (111 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 39.5% expected score (8 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Bishop's Opening
51.7%
Variations (5)
Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense
50.0%
Bishop's Opening: Boi Variation
52.7%
Bishop's Opening: Vienna Hybrid
51.3%
Bishop's Opening: Vienna Hybrid, Spielmann Attack
52.2%
Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit
55.0%
Analyze Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack win rate?

The Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack has a 51.1% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.3M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack perform best?

The Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 52.5% win rate for white (197K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (62.4%) outperforms Classical (51.2%) by 11.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack?

The Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack has a sharpness score of 96.5 (very decisive), meaning 96.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack has a 52.2% (90% CI: 52.0%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 144K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack has a 52.5% (90% CI: 52.3%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 197K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.6%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 257K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.6%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 270K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 243K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 149K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.4%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 41K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack has a 53.1% (90% CI: 52.1%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 5.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack has a 49.5% (90% CI: 45.8%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 480 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 8.2% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack has a 62.4% (90% CI: 60.5%-64.4%) win rate for white (1.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.8%.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack has a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.8%-53.2%) win rate for white (180K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.7%-50.9%) win rate for white (768K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.1%) win rate for white (344K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.5%-51.9%) win rate for white (13K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

Is the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack a good opening?

The Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack is statistically favors white with a 51.1% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.