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Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Keidansky Gambit

68K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score58.9%Range (90% confident): 58.6% – 59.2%Based on 68K games
0%58.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 58.6% – 59.2%
Outcome Distribution
57.4%2.9%39.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.Qxd4
Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Keidansky Gambit
Analyzen=68K
Avg Length27 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.9%

What is the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Keidansky Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Keidansky Gambit has a 58.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 58.6% and 59.2%), based on 68K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +22.6% · Breakpoint: Never

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 53% → 46%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 53.4% win rate (2,515 games)
  • 1000-1199: 56.2% win rate (5,483 games)
  • 1200-1399: 55.9% win rate (8,888 games)
  • 1400-1599: 57.4% win rate (10,805 games)
  • 1600-1799: 57.0% win rate (12,525 games)
  • 1800-1999: 57.3% win rate (12,575 games)
  • 2000-2199: 60.1% win rate (10,452 games)
  • 2200-2499: 60.4% win rate (4,550 games)
  • 2500+: 45.9% win rate (562 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (58%), worst in UltraBullet (44%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 43.6% win rate (18 games)
  • Bullet: 57.1% win rate (16,311 games)
  • Blitz: 58.2% win rate (36,732 games)
  • Rapid: 55.8% win rate (14,371 games)
  • Classical: 53.5% win rate (923 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (710 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (1,195 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 55.9% expected score (607 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 57.2% expected score (1,357 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (2,868 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 56.2% expected score (1,239 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 66.3% expected score (17 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 56.0% expected score (2,089 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 58.0% expected score (4,484 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 56.0% expected score (2,245 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (64 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 55.5% expected score (2,324 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 59.3% expected score (5,317 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 59.2% expected score (2,971 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 59.6% expected score (186 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 58.2% expected score (2,749 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 58.8% expected score (6,559 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (2,945 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 55.4% expected score (269 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 57.5% expected score (2,705 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 59.7% expected score (7,433 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 57.2% expected score (2,210 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 51.5% expected score (227 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 60.7% expected score (2,303 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 63.5% expected score (6,377 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (1,646 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 57.1% expected score (126 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 62.5% expected score (1,741 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 63.9% expected score (2,295 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.0% expected score (487 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 60.6% expected score (27 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 60.5% expected score (333 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (204 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (21 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Bishop's Opening
51.7%
Variations (5)
Bishop's Opening: Anderssen Gambit
54.3%
Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense
50.0%
Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit
47.8%
Bishop's Opening: Boden-Kieseritzky Gambit
56.0%
Bishop's Opening: Boden-Kieseritzky Gambit, Lichtenhein Defense
56.3%
Analyze Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Keidansky Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Keidansky Gambit win rate?

The Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Keidansky Gambit has a 57.4% (90% CI: 57.1%-57.7%) win rate for white, based on 68K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Keidansky Gambit perform best?

The Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Keidansky Gambit performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 60.1% win rate for white (10K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Keidansky Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (58.2%) outperforms Classical (53.5%) by 4.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Keidansky Gambit?

The Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Keidansky Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.1 (very decisive), meaning 97.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 27 moves.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Keidansky Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Keidansky Gambit has a 53.4% (90% CI: 51.8%-55.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 22 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Keidansky Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Keidansky Gambit has a 56.2% (90% CI: 55.1%-57.3%) win rate for white, based on 5.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Keidansky Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Keidansky Gambit has a 55.9% (90% CI: 55.0%-56.7%) win rate for white, based on 8.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Keidansky Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Keidansky Gambit has a 57.4% (90% CI: 56.6%-58.2%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Keidansky Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Keidansky Gambit has a 57.0% (90% CI: 56.3%-57.8%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Keidansky Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Keidansky Gambit has a 57.3% (90% CI: 56.5%-58.0%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Keidansky Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Keidansky Gambit has a 60.1% (90% CI: 59.3%-60.9%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Keidansky Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Keidansky Gambit has a 60.4% (90% CI: 59.2%-61.6%) win rate for white, based on 4.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Keidansky Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Keidansky Gambit has a 45.9% (90% CI: 42.4%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 562 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 26.5% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Keidansky Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Keidansky Gambit has a 57.1% (90% CI: 56.4%-57.7%) win rate for white (16K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Keidansky Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Keidansky Gambit has a 58.2% (90% CI: 57.8%-58.7%) win rate for white (37K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Keidansky Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Keidansky Gambit has a 55.8% (90% CI: 55.1%-56.5%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Keidansky Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Keidansky Gambit has a 53.5% (90% CI: 50.8%-56.2%) win rate for white (923 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

Is the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Keidansky Gambit a good opening?

The Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Keidansky Gambit is statistically favors white with a 57.4% (90% CI: 57.1%-57.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.