What is the Bishop's Opening: Thorold Gambit expected score for Black?
Snapshot
At all ratings, the Bishop's Opening: Thorold Gambit has a 48.6% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 44.5% and 52.8%), based on 389 Lichess games.
Bishop's Opening: Thorold Gambit
389 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
View As
Tough SellBlack Expected Score48.6%Range (90% confident): 44.5% – 52.8%Based on 389 games
0%48.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 44.5% – 52.8%
Outcome Distribution
47.8%1.7%50.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...f5
Bishop's Opening: Thorold Gambit
Analyzen=389
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness98%
Draw Rate1.7%
Extra Analysis
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Black Win% by Rating
Stable across ratings (~33%)
0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+
- 0-999: 33.3% win rate (18 games)
- 1000-1199: 36.0% win rate (11 games)
- 1200-1399: 53.8% win rate (18 games)
- 1400-1599: 62.3% win rate (25 games)
- 1600-1799: 49.0% win rate (130 games)
- 1800-1999: 45.7% win rate (98 games)
- 2000-2199: 47.4% win rate (46 games)
- 2200-2499: 44.6% win rate (40 games)
- 2500+: 33.3% win rate (3 games)
Black Win% by Time Control
Best in Blitz (51%), worst in Bullet (37%)
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical
- Bullet: 37.4% win rate (56 games)
- Blitz: 50.7% win rate (177 games)
- Rapid: 47.9% win rate (154 games)
- Classical: 42.9% win rate (2 games)
Black% by Rating × Time Control
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | ||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | — | ||
| 1400-1599 | — | — | |||
| 1600-1799 | — | — | |||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | — | |||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 44.7% expected score (8 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 37.0% expected score (10 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 84.8% expected score (10 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 46.6% expected score (13 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.6% expected score (34 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 46.8% expected score (91 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 43.3% expected score (66 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.6% expected score (26 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 37.8% expected score (23 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 61.1% expected score (21 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 32.9% expected score (19 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 57.0% expected score (20 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
Related Openings
Parent
Bishop's Opening51.7%
Analyze Bishop's Opening: Thorold Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Bishop's Opening: Thorold Gambit win rate?
The Bishop's Opening: Thorold Gambit has a 50.6% (90% CI: 46.4%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 389 rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Bishop's Opening: Thorold Gambit perform best?
The Bishop's Opening: Thorold Gambit performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 52.8% win rate for white (98 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Is the Bishop's Opening: Thorold Gambit better in blitz or rapid?
Bullet (60.0%) outperforms Blitz (47.3%) by 12.7%. Choose your time control wisely.
How sharp is the Bishop's Opening: Thorold Gambit?
The Bishop's Opening: Thorold Gambit has a sharpness score of 98.3 (very decisive), meaning 98.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.
What is the Bishop's Opening: Thorold Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Thorold Gambit has a 49.8% (90% CI: 42.7%-57.0%) win rate for white, based on 130 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 1.1% draw rate.
What is the Bishop's Opening: Thorold Gambit win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz games, the Bishop's Opening: Thorold Gambit has a 47.3% (90% CI: 41.2%-53.5%) win rate for white (177 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.0%.
What is the Bishop's Opening: Thorold Gambit win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid games, the Bishop's Opening: Thorold Gambit has a 50.5% (90% CI: 43.9%-57.1%) win rate for white (154 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.6%.
Is the Bishop's Opening: Thorold Gambit a good opening?
The Bishop's Opening: Thorold Gambit is slightly favors black with a 50.6% (90% CI: 46.4%-54.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.