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Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit

354K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score49.5%Range (90% confident): 49.4% – 49.7%Based on 354K games
0%49.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.4% – 49.7%
Outcome Distribution
48.2%2.6%49.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...f5
Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit
Analyzen=354K
Avg Length29 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.6%

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit has a 49.5% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 49.4% and 49.7%), based on 354K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +1.5% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 45% → 35%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 44.8% win rate (20,383 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.7% win rate (31,315 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.7% win rate (53,295 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.8% win rate (73,424 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.3% win rate (83,498 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.2% win rate (63,681 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.6% win rate (22,871 games)
  • 2200-2499: 43.8% win rate (4,774 games)
  • 2500+: 34.7% win rate (285 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (50%), worst in Rapid (46%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 47.7% win rate (3,040 games)
  • Bullet: 49.5% win rate (103,743 games)
  • Blitz: 48.2% win rate (186,482 games)
  • Rapid: 46.4% win rate (58,144 games)
  • Classical: 47.2% win rate (2,117 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 52.6% expected score (118 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (5,026 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.8% expected score (9,255 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 44.3% expected score (5,933 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 39.5% expected score (51 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 38.2% expected score (248 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (8,441 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (16,551 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 46.5% expected score (5,919 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 46.6% expected score (156 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 49.3% expected score (658 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (14,229 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (28,559 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.7% expected score (9,587 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 48.9% expected score (262 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 52.6% expected score (1,391 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (18,782 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (39,735 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.2% expected score (12,878 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 49.5% expected score (638 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 40.7% expected score (519 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (22,333 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (46,886 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (13,068 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 49.5% expected score (692 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 31.4% expected score (82 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (20,339 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (34,471 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (8,503 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 49.3% expected score (286 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (19 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (10,918 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (9,801 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2,101 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 41.1% expected score (32 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.0% expected score (3,421 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 42.7% expected score (1,193 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 41.1% expected score (155 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 37.3% expected score (254 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 33.1% expected score (31 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Bishop's Opening
51.7%
Variations (5)
Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense
50.0%
Bishop's Opening: Boi Variation
52.7%
Bishop's Opening: Vienna Hybrid
51.3%
Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack
51.1%
Bishop's Opening: Vienna Hybrid, Spielmann Attack
52.2%
Continuations (1)
Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Jaenisch Variation
51.4%
Analyze Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit win rate?

The Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit has a 49.2% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 354K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit perform best?

The Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 61.3% win rate for white (285 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (51.6%) outperforms Classical (49.7%) by 1.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit?

The Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit has a sharpness score of 97.4 (very decisive), meaning 97.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.3%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 20K Lichess games. Average game length is 22 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 31K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 53K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 73K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 83K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.6%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 64K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit has a 49.4% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit has a 52.2% (90% CI: 51.0%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 4.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit has a 61.3% (90% CI: 56.5%-65.9%) win rate for white, based on 285 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit has a 51.6% (90% CI: 50.1%-53.1%) win rate for white (3.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.7%.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.1%) win rate for white (104K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.7%.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.8%-49.1%) win rate for white (186K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit has a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.7%) win rate for white (58K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit has a 49.7% (90% CI: 47.9%-51.5%) win rate for white (2.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

Is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit a good opening?

The Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit is statistically balanced with a 49.2% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.