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Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit

354K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds

49.5%

45%55%
Floor49.4%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 49.7%.

Measured over 354K games at this level and clock.

Playablewins about as often as it loses at this level

Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.

Outcomes for Black

Draw 2.6 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 354K games

Rank among the families Black can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
354K
Best context
52.6% at 1400-1599 UltraBullet
Worst context
40.7% at 1600-1799 UltraBullet
Average game length
29 moves
Games that end decisively
97.4%
Draws
2.6%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +1.5% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 46.3% at 0-999, 35.2% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 52.6% expected score (118 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (5,026 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.8% expected score (9,255 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 44.3% expected score (5,933 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 39.5% expected score (51 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 38.2% expected score (248 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (8,441 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (16,551 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 46.5% expected score (5,919 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 46.6% expected score (156 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 49.3% expected score (658 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (14,229 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (28,559 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.7% expected score (9,587 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 48.9% expected score (262 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 52.6% expected score (1,391 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (18,782 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (39,735 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.2% expected score (12,878 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 49.5% expected score (638 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 40.7% expected score (519 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (22,333 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (46,886 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (13,068 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 49.5% expected score (692 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 31.4% expected score (82 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (20,339 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (34,471 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (8,503 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 49.3% expected score (286 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (19 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (10,918 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (9,801 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2,101 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 41.1% expected score (32 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.0% expected score (3,421 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 42.7% expected score (1,193 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 41.1% expected score (155 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 37.3% expected score (254 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 33.1% expected score (31 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Bishop's Opening
51.7%
Variations (5)
Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense
50.0%
Bishop's Opening: Boi Variation
52.7%
Bishop's Opening: Vienna Hybrid
51.3%
Bishop's Opening: Philidor Counterattack
51.1%
Bishop's Opening: Vienna Hybrid, Spielmann Attack
52.2%
Continuations (1)
Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Jaenisch Variation
51.4%
Analyze Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit scores 49.5% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 49.4% and 49.7% — from 354K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
354K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit win rate?

Playing the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Black wins 48.2%, draws 2.6% and loses 49.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.5%. It rests on 354K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit perform best?

The Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit performs best for Black at 1600-1799, with an Expected Score of 50.6% (83K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit better in blitz or rapid?

For Black, the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 49.7% in Blitz (186K games) against 48.1% in Rapid (58K games).

How sharp is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit?

The Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit has a sharpness score of 97.4 (very decisive), meaning 97.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, Black wins 44.8%, draws 3.4% and loses 51.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.5%. It rests on 20K Lichess games, which average 22 moves.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, Black wins 46.7%, draws 2.2% and loses 51.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.9%. It rests on 31K Lichess games, which average 25 moves.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, Black wins 47.7%, draws 2.3% and loses 50.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.9%. It rests on 53K Lichess games, which average 27 moves.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, Black wins 48.8%, draws 2.3% and loses 48.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.0%. It rests on 73K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, Black wins 49.3%, draws 2.6% and loses 48.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.6%. It rests on 83K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, Black wins 49.2%, draws 2.9% and loses 48.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.6%. It rests on 64K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, Black wins 47.6%, draws 3.0% and loses 49.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.1%. It rests on 23K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, Black wins 43.8%, draws 4.0% and loses 52.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.8%. It rests on 4.8K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, Black wins 34.7%, draws 4.0% and loses 61.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 36.7%. It rests on 285 Lichess games, which average 35 moves.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet, Black wins 47.7%, draws 0.7% and loses 51.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.1%. It rests on 3.0K Lichess games.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, Black wins 49.5%, draws 1.7% and loses 48.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.3%. It rests on 104K Lichess games.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, Black wins 48.2%, draws 2.9% and loses 48.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.7%. It rests on 186K Lichess games.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, Black wins 46.4%, draws 3.3% and loses 50.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.1%. It rests on 58K Lichess games.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical, Black wins 47.2%, draws 3.1% and loses 49.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.8%. It rests on 2.1K Lichess games.

Is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit a good opening?

The Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit is about level. Across all ratings, Black wins 48.2% of its games and loses 49.2%. It performs best at 1600-1799. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.