What is the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense has a 51.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.8% and 51.9%), based on 7.2M Lichess games.
7.2M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense has a 51.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.8% and 51.9%), based on 7.2M Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Stable across ratings (~47%)
Best in UltraBullet (56%), worst in Classical (47%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 7.2M rated games from Lichess.
The Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 50.8% win rate for white (1.5M games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
UltraBullet (55.6%) outperforms Classical (47.1%) by 8.5%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense has a 46.7% (90% CI: 46.6%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 788K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.0M Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.7%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.5M Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense has a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.5%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.7M Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense has a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.3%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.3M Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 663K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.4%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 200K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.3%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 51K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense has a 45.3% (90% CI: 44.3%-46.2%) win rate for white, based on 6.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 17.6% draw rate.
In UltraBullet games, the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense has a 55.6% (90% CI: 55.1%-56.0%) win rate for white (32K Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.8%.
In Bullet games, the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense has a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.2%-51.4%) win rate for white (1.2M Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.
In Blitz games, the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense has a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.2%) win rate for white (3.9M Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.
In Rapid games, the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.8%-48.9%) win rate for white (2.1M Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.
In Classical games, the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.8%-47.3%) win rate for white (84K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.
The Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense is statistically balanced with a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.