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Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit

7.4K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.3%Range (90% confident): 50.4% – 52.3%Based on 7.4K games
0%51.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.4% – 52.3%
Outcome Distribution
48.6%5.4%46.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
2.b4
Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit
Analyzen=7.4K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.4%

What is the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit has a 51.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.4% and 52.3%), based on 7.4K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +19.8% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 15.0% · UltraBullet best · Rapid worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 44% → 59%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 44.3% win rate (501 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.8% win rate (385 games)
  • 1200-1399: 45.6% win rate (410 games)
  • 1400-1599: 43.6% win rate (685 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.3% win rate (643 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.9% win rate (1,021 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.0% win rate (1,318 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.3% win rate (1,736 games)
  • 2500+: 58.8% win rate (674 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (58%), worst in Classical (32%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 58.0% win rate (284 games)
  • Bullet: 50.1% win rate (4,864 games)
  • Blitz: 44.6% win rate (1,813 games)
  • Rapid: 43.0% win rate (381 games)
  • Classical: 32.3% win rate (31 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (158 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (239 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (102 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (113 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (206 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 59.1% expected score (59 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (135 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (182 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.6% expected score (80 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 46.1% expected score (24 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.4% expected score (289 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.4% expected score (282 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 42.8% expected score (74 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 27.2% expected score (16 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 60.8% expected score (31 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 44.0% expected score (312 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (263 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 34.1% expected score (33 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 62.1% expected score (127 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (621 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 41.6% expected score (253 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 35.4% expected score (19 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 63.8% expected score (78 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (1,009 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 44.8% expected score (226 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 65.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 67.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (1,558 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 59.0% expected score (160 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.3% expected score (8 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 63.2% expected score (669 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Anderssen's Opening
48.4%
Analyze Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit win rate?

The Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.6%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 7.4K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit perform best?

The Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 58.8% win rate for white (674 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (58.0%) outperforms Rapid (43.0%) by 15.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit?

The Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit has a sharpness score of 94.6 (decisive), meaning 94.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit has a 44.3% (90% CI: 40.6%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 501 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 10.4% draw rate.

What is the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit has a 48.8% (90% CI: 44.6%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 385 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit has a 45.6% (90% CI: 41.5%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 410 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit has a 43.6% (90% CI: 40.5%-46.7%) win rate for white, based on 685 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit has a 44.3% (90% CI: 41.1%-47.5%) win rate for white, based on 643 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit has a 45.9% (90% CI: 43.4%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit has a 49.0% (90% CI: 46.7%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit has a 51.3% (90% CI: 49.3%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit has a 58.8% (90% CI: 55.7%-61.9%) win rate for white, based on 674 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 8.2% draw rate.

What is the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit has a 58.0% (90% CI: 53.1%-62.7%) win rate for white (284 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

What is the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit has a 50.1% (90% CI: 48.9%-51.3%) win rate for white (4.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

What is the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit has a 44.6% (90% CI: 42.6%-46.5%) win rate for white (1.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.5%.

What is the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit has a 43.0% (90% CI: 38.9%-47.2%) win rate for white (381 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.5%.

Is the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit a good opening?

The Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit is statistically balanced with a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.6%-49.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.