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Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit

7.4K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

51.3%

45%60%
Floor50.4%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 52.3%.

Measured over 7.4K games at this level and clock.

Playablewins about as often as it loses at this level

Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.

Outcomes for White

Draw 5.4 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 7.4K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
7.4K
Best context
63.2% at 2500+ Bullet
Worst context
48.1% at 1800-1999 Bullet
Average game length
34 moves
Games that end decisively
94.6%
Draws
5.4%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +19.8% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 15.0% · UltraBullet best · Rapid worst

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It holds about the same all the way up, near 49.6%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (158 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (239 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (102 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (113 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (206 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 59.1% expected score (59 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (135 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (182 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.6% expected score (80 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 46.1% expected score (24 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.4% expected score (289 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.4% expected score (282 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 42.8% expected score (74 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 27.2% expected score (16 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 60.8% expected score (31 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 44.0% expected score (312 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (263 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 34.1% expected score (33 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 62.1% expected score (127 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (621 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 41.6% expected score (253 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 35.4% expected score (19 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 63.8% expected score (78 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (1,009 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 44.8% expected score (226 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 65.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 67.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (1,558 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 59.0% expected score (160 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.3% expected score (8 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 63.2% expected score (669 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Anderssen's Opening
48.4%
Analyze Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit scores 51.3% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 50.4% and 52.3% — from 7.4K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
7.4K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit win rate?

Playing the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit, White wins 48.6%, draws 5.4% and loses 46.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.3%. It rests on 7.4K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit perform best?

The Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit performs best for White at 2500+, with an Expected Score of 63.0% (674 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 48.4% in Blitz (1.8K games) against 47.3% in Rapid (381 games).

How sharp is the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit?

The Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit has a sharpness score of 94.6 (decisive), meaning 94.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 44.3%, draws 10.4% and loses 45.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.5%. It rests on 501 Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 48.8%, draws 5.8% and loses 45.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.7%. It rests on 385 Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 45.6%, draws 4.5% and loses 49.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.9%. It rests on 410 Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 43.6%, draws 4.4% and loses 51.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.9%. It rests on 685 Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 44.3%, draws 4.9% and loses 50.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.8%. It rests on 643 Lichess games, which average 33 moves.

What is the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 45.9%, draws 4.0% and loses 50.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.9%. It rests on 1.0K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.

What is the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 49.0%, draws 3.9% and loses 47.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.0%. It rests on 1.3K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 51.3%, draws 5.8% and loses 43.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.2%. It rests on 1.7K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.

What is the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, White wins 58.8%, draws 8.2% and loses 32.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 63.0%. It rests on 674 Lichess games, which average 39 moves.

What is the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet, White wins 58.0%, draws 5.1% and loses 37.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 60.5%. It rests on 284 Lichess games.

What is the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 50.1%, draws 4.5% and loses 45.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.3%. It rests on 4.9K Lichess games.

What is the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 44.6%, draws 7.5% and loses 47.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.4%. It rests on 1.8K Lichess games.

What is the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 43.0%, draws 8.5% and loses 48.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.3%. It rests on 381 Lichess games.

Is the Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit a good opening?

The Anderssen's Opening: Polish Gambit is about level. Across all ratings, White wins 48.6% of its games and loses 46.0%. It performs best at 2500+. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.