What is the Amsterdam Attack expected score for Black?
Snapshot
Overall, the Amsterdam Attack family has a 48.8% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 47.5% and 50.1%), aggregated from 1 variations and 4.2K Lichess games.
Amsterdam Attack
1 variations · 4.2K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
Key Finding
Amsterdam Attack is balanced for Black at 48.8% expected score.
This opening produces roughly even results, with outcomes depending more on middlegame play than opening choice.
You play
Tough Sell
Rating
Time
Black Expected Score0.0%Range (90% confident): 47.5% – 50.1%Aggregated from 1 variations
0%48.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.5% – 50.1%
ContextOverall · n=4.2K
Outcome Distribution
47.3%2.9%49.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...Nf6
Amsterdam Attack
Variations1
Games (Context)4.2K
Avg Length33 moves
Draw Rate2.9%
What Should I Play?
Player-controlled continuations for Black · Overall
Continuations show the most common variations from this opening. Higher expected scores indicate better statistical outcomes, but familiarity and playstyle matter too.
Black Win% by Rating
Declines with rating: 51% → 27%
0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+
- 0-999: 51.3% win rate (241 games)
- 1000-1199: 43.6% win rate (419 games)
- 1200-1399: 48.8% win rate (584 games)
- 1400-1599: 47.9% win rate (845 games)
- 1600-1799: 48.0% win rate (1,034 games)
- 1800-1999: 44.0% win rate (682 games)
- 2000-2199: 49.9% win rate (266 games)
- 2200-2499: 48.4% win rate (111 games)
- 2500+: 27.3% win rate (15 games)
Black Win% by Time Control
Best in UltraBullet (54%), worst in Rapid (45%)
UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical
- UltraBullet: 54.3% win rate (16 games)
- Bullet: 47.5% win rate (2,117 games)
- Blitz: 47.6% win rate (1,664 games)
- Rapid: 44.6% win rate (385 games)
- Classical: 45.5% win rate (15 games)
Rating vs Time Control Matrix
Click cells to filter · Black expected scores
Black% by Rating × Time Control
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | ||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 56.6% expected score (67 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (127 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 54.1% expected score (47 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 43.2% expected score (153 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (199 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 41.9% expected score (66 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (217 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.3% expected score (275 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 55.6% expected score (88 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 64.9% expected score (12 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (317 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (442 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 43.6% expected score (69 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (650 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.3% expected score (316 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 40.6% expected score (62 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 45.3% expected score (413 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.7% expected score (222 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 42.5% expected score (45 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (185 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 56.8% expected score (73 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 61.8% expected score (7 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (100 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 28.8% expected score (15 games)
Matrix view reveals how performance varies across rating brackets and time controls. Green indicates favorable, red indicates challenging contexts.
Variations (1)
Analyze Amsterdam Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Amsterdam Attack win rate?
The Amsterdam Attack family has a 49.8% (90% CI: 48.5%-51.1%) win rate for white, aggregated from 1 variations and 4.2K rated games from Lichess.
How many Amsterdam Attack variations are there?
This analysis covers 1 Amsterdam Attack variations with sufficient game data. Each variation has its own statistics page with detailed win rates by rating and time control.
At what rating does the Amsterdam Attack perform best?
The Amsterdam Attack family performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 53.2% win rate for white (682 games). Performance may vary by specific variation.
Is the Amsterdam Attack better in blitz or rapid?
Bullet (50.2%) outperforms Rapid (50.3%) by -0.1% across all Amsterdam Attack variations.
How sharp is the Amsterdam Attack?
Amsterdam Attack games are 97.1% decisive (non-draws), with an average length of 33 moves. Sharpness varies by specific variation.
Is the Amsterdam Attack a good opening family?
The Amsterdam Attack family is statistically balanced overall with a 49.8% (90% CI: 48.5%-51.1%) aggregated win rate. However, win rates vary significantly between the 1 variations—explore individual lines to find the best fit for your style.