Amsterdam Attack
1 variations · 4.2K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
Black expected score · Overall
48.8%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 50.1%.
Measured over 4.2K games at this level and clock.
Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.
Outcomes for Black
Draw 2.9 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 4.2K games
- Rank among the families Black can choose here
- #40 of 62
- Games in this context
- 4.2K
- Best context
- 51.3% at 1600-1799 Bullet
- Variations measured
- 1
- Average game length
- 33 moves
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
What to play from here
Black · OverallThese are the moves players actually choose from here, ranked by how they score. A higher score is a better bet on the numbers alone — familiarity and playstyle still matter.
Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 53.6% at 0-999, 28.8% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | ||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 56.6% expected score (67 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (127 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 54.1% expected score (47 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 43.2% expected score (153 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (199 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 41.9% expected score (66 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (217 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.3% expected score (275 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 55.6% expected score (88 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 64.9% expected score (12 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (317 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (442 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 43.6% expected score (69 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (650 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.3% expected score (316 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 40.6% expected score (62 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 45.3% expected score (413 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.7% expected score (222 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 42.5% expected score (45 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (185 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 56.8% expected score (73 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 61.8% expected score (7 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (100 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 28.8% expected score (15 games)
1 variations · ranked by floor
Floor — the worst score you would still get, 90% confident.
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Amsterdam Attack family scores 48.8% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 47.5% and 50.1% — from 4.2K Lichess games across 1 variations. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 4.2K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Amsterdam Attack win rate?
Across the Amsterdam Attack's 1 variations, Black wins 47.3%, draws 2.9% and loses 49.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.8%. It rests on 4.2K rated games from Lichess.
How many Amsterdam Attack variations are there?
1 Amsterdam Attack variations have a page of their own, each broken down by rating and by clock.
At what rating does the Amsterdam Attack perform best?
The Amsterdam Attack family performs best for Black at 0-999, with an Expected Score of 52.7% (241 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read. Performance may vary by specific variation.
Is the Amsterdam Attack better in blitz or rapid?
For Black, the Amsterdam Attack scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 49.2% in Blitz (1.7K games) against 47.2% in Rapid (385 games).
How sharp is the Amsterdam Attack?
Amsterdam Attack games are 97.1% decisive (non-draws), with an average length of 33 moves. Sharpness varies by specific variation.
Is the Amsterdam Attack a good opening family?
The Amsterdam Attack family is hard work for Black — it favours White overall. Across its games, Black wins 47.3% and loses 49.8%. Results differ between its 1 variations, so open the one you play for its own figures.