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Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation, Pollock Gambit

810 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score59.0%Range (90% confident): 56.1% – 61.9%Based on 810 games
0%59.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 56.1% – 61.9%
Outcome Distribution
57.6%2.8%39.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.exd5
Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation, Pollock Gambit
Analyzen=810
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.8%

What is the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation, Pollock Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation, Pollock Gambit has a 59.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 56.1% and 61.9%), based on 810 Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +13.8% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 11.5% · Rapid best · Blitz worst

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 51% → 33%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.5% win rate (51 games)
  • 1000-1199: 62.2% win rate (70 games)
  • 1200-1399: 57.5% win rate (109 games)
  • 1400-1599: 62.3% win rate (147 games)
  • 1600-1799: 58.2% win rate (154 games)
  • 1800-1999: 53.6% win rate (130 games)
  • 2000-2199: 59.3% win rate (87 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.6% win rate (56 games)
  • 2500+: 33.3% win rate (6 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (71%), worst in Blitz (55%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 57.0% win rate (289 games)
  • Blitz: 54.6% win rate (382 games)
  • Rapid: 66.1% win rate (137 games)
  • Classical: 71.4% win rate (2 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799——
1800-1999——
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 37.8% expected score (19 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (16 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 67.2% expected score (16 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 62.8% expected score (26 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 55.7% expected score (25 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 76.8% expected score (19 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 69.0% expected score (38 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (54 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (16 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 69.0% expected score (38 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 59.0% expected score (82 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 66.4% expected score (26 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 60.6% expected score (41 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 56.8% expected score (87 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 62.8% expected score (26 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (42 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (67 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 76.7% expected score (21 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 59.4% expected score (41 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 63.4% expected score (36 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (39 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (14 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Vienna Game
51.4%
Variations (5)
Vienna Game: Anderssen Defense
49.8%
Vienna Game: Falkbeer Variation
48.2%
Vienna Game: Frankenstein-Dracula Variation
47.4%
Vienna Game: Fyfe Gambit
45.8%
Vienna Game: Giraffe Attack
54.5%
Analyze Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation, Pollock Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation, Pollock Gambit win rate?

The Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation, Pollock Gambit has a 57.6% (90% CI: 54.7%-60.5%) win rate for white, based on 810 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation, Pollock Gambit perform best?

The Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation, Pollock Gambit performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 62.3% win rate for white (147 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation, Pollock Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (66.1%) outperforms Blitz (54.6%) by 11.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation, Pollock Gambit?

The Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation, Pollock Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.2 (very decisive), meaning 97.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation, Pollock Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation, Pollock Gambit has a 57.5% (90% CI: 49.7%-65.1%) win rate for white, based on 109 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation, Pollock Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation, Pollock Gambit has a 62.3% (90% CI: 55.7%-68.7%) win rate for white, based on 147 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation, Pollock Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation, Pollock Gambit has a 58.2% (90% CI: 51.7%-64.6%) win rate for white, based on 154 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 1.6% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation, Pollock Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation, Pollock Gambit has a 53.6% (90% CI: 46.5%-60.7%) win rate for white, based on 130 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation, Pollock Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation, Pollock Gambit has a 57.0% (90% CI: 52.2%-61.7%) win rate for white (289 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation, Pollock Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation, Pollock Gambit has a 54.6% (90% CI: 50.4%-58.8%) win rate for white (382 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation, Pollock Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation, Pollock Gambit has a 66.1% (90% CI: 59.3%-72.5%) win rate for white (137 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.

Is the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation, Pollock Gambit a good opening?

The Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation, Pollock Gambit is statistically favors white with a 57.6% (90% CI: 54.7%-60.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.