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Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Paulsen Defense

3.8K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score48.8%Range (90% confident): 47.5% – 50.1%Based on 3.8K games
0%48.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.5% – 50.1%
Outcome Distribution
46.9%3.7%49.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...d6
Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Paulsen Defense
Analyzen=3.8K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.7%

What is the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Paulsen Defense expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Paulsen Defense has a 48.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 47.5% and 50.1%), based on 3.8K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +12.2% · Breakpoint: 1000-1199

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 46% → 62%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.3% win rate (19 games)
  • 1000-1199: 42.1% win rate (97 games)
  • 1200-1399: 40.2% win rate (231 games)
  • 1400-1599: 44.5% win rate (454 games)
  • 1600-1799: 43.2% win rate (629 games)
  • 1800-1999: 43.4% win rate (726 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.9% win rate (864 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.3% win rate (609 games)
  • 2500+: 62.2% win rate (128 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (49%), worst in Classical (42%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 48.5% win rate (890 games)
  • Blitz: 47.2% win rate (2,230 games)
  • Rapid: 43.6% win rate (616 games)
  • Classical: 42.2% win rate (21 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 40.5% expected score (30 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (51 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 24.3% expected score (16 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (46 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 42.1% expected score (132 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 33.5% expected score (53 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 44.8% expected score (66 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (263 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.0% expected score (120 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.9% expected score (115 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 44.2% expected score (364 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 46.0% expected score (149 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 43.6% expected score (148 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 44.2% expected score (427 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.8% expected score (139 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 42.6% expected score (12 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (229 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (540 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 42.1% expected score (93 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (164 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.6% expected score (409 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 62.4% expected score (35 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 68.1% expected score (87 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (38 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense
52.9%
Variations (5)
Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Cunningham Defense
45.3%
Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Hamppe-Allgaier Gambit
54.7%
Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Hamppe-Allgaier Gambit, Alapin Variation
55.5%
Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Hamppe-Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Variation
57.2%
Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Hamppe-Muzio Gambit
56.7%
Analyze Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Paulsen Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Paulsen Defense win rate?

The Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Paulsen Defense has a 46.9% (90% CI: 45.6%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Paulsen Defense perform best?

The Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Paulsen Defense performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 62.2% win rate for white (128 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Paulsen Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (48.5%) outperforms Rapid (43.6%) by 4.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Paulsen Defense?

The Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Paulsen Defense has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Paulsen Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Paulsen Defense has a 40.2% (90% CI: 35.0%-45.5%) win rate for white, based on 231 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Paulsen Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Paulsen Defense has a 44.5% (90% CI: 40.6%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 454 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Paulsen Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Paulsen Defense has a 43.2% (90% CI: 40.0%-46.5%) win rate for white, based on 629 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Paulsen Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Paulsen Defense has a 43.4% (90% CI: 40.4%-46.4%) win rate for white, based on 726 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Paulsen Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Paulsen Defense has a 49.9% (90% CI: 47.1%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 864 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Paulsen Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Paulsen Defense has a 52.3% (90% CI: 49.0%-55.7%) win rate for white, based on 609 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Paulsen Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Paulsen Defense has a 62.2% (90% CI: 55.1%-69.0%) win rate for white, based on 128 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Paulsen Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Paulsen Defense has a 48.5% (90% CI: 45.8%-51.3%) win rate for white (890 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.1%.

What is the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Paulsen Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Paulsen Defense has a 47.2% (90% CI: 45.4%-48.9%) win rate for white (2.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Paulsen Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Paulsen Defense has a 43.6% (90% CI: 40.4%-46.9%) win rate for white (616 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

Is the Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Paulsen Defense a good opening?

The Vienna Gambit, with Max Lange Defense: Steinitz Gambit, Paulsen Defense is slightly favors black with a 46.9% (90% CI: 45.6%-48.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.