TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Ekolu Variation

588 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score51.2%Range (90% confident): 47.8% – 54.6%Based on 588 games
0%51.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.8% – 54.6%
Outcome Distribution
50.1%2.1%47.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.Nf3
Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Ekolu Variation
Analyzen=588
Avg Length29 moves
Sharpness98%
Draw Rate2.1%

What is the Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Ekolu Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Ekolu Variation has a 51.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 47.8% and 54.6%), based on 588 Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: -8.4% · Breakpoint: 1400-1599

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 90.2 · Trap factor: +24.1 · n=588

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 43% → 33%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 42.9% win rate (16 games)
  • 1000-1199: 62.3% win rate (25 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.0% win rate (40 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.4% win rate (52 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.5% win rate (145 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.1% win rate (179 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.8% win rate (85 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.3% win rate (34 games)
  • 2500+: 33.3% win rate (12 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (52%), worst in Classical (9%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 11.1% win rate (3 games)
  • Bullet: 51.5% win rate (347 games)
  • Blitz: 48.7% win rate (172 games)
  • Rapid: 51.2% win rate (62 games)
  • Classical: 9.1% win rate (4 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599——
1600-1799——
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499———
2500+————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 90.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 44.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (19 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (21 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (21 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (91 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 56.7% expected score (36 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (18 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 58.9% expected score (106 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 45.2% expected score (60 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 37.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (61 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (13 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 27.8% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (29 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 35.2% expected score (12 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Van't Kruijs Opening
48.5%
Variations (3)
Van't Kruijs Opening: Bouncing Bishop Variation
67.4%
Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Akahi Variation
47.5%
Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Alua Variation
48.2%
Analyze Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Ekolu Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Ekolu Variation win rate?

The Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Ekolu Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 46.7%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 588 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Ekolu Variation perform best?

The Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Ekolu Variation performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 51.5% win rate for white (145 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Ekolu Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.5%) outperforms Rapid (51.2%) by 0.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Ekolu Variation?

The Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Ekolu Variation has a sharpness score of 97.9 (very decisive), meaning 97.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Ekolu Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Ekolu Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 44.8%-58.3%) win rate for white, based on 145 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 1.0% draw rate.

What is the Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Ekolu Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Ekolu Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 44.0%-56.2%) win rate for white, based on 179 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Ekolu Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Ekolu Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 47.1%-55.9%) win rate for white (347 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Ekolu Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Ekolu Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 42.5%-54.9%) win rate for white (172 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.

Is the Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Ekolu Variation a good opening?

The Van't Kruijs Opening: Keoni-Hiva Gambit, Ekolu Variation is slightly favors black with a 50.1% (90% CI: 46.7%-53.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.