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Analyzer

Van Geet Opening: Melleby Gambit

1.1K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score49.0%Range (90% confident): 46.6% – 51.4%Based on 1.1K games
0%49.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.6% – 51.4%
Outcome Distribution
48.1%1.7%50.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...c5
Van Geet Opening: Melleby Gambit
Analyzen=1.1K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness98%
Draw Rate1.7%

What is the Van Geet Opening: Melleby Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Van Geet Opening: Melleby Gambit has a 49.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 46.6% and 51.4%), based on 1.1K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 39% → 52%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 38.5% win rate (18 games)
  • 1000-1199: 42.2% win rate (21 games)
  • 1200-1399: 44.9% win rate (33 games)
  • 1400-1599: 35.4% win rate (79 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.4% win rate (202 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.0% win rate (290 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.9% win rate (271 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.8% win rate (154 games)
  • 2500+: 51.8% win rate (67 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (49%), worst in Classical (33%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 45.5% win rate (15 games)
  • Bullet: 48.1% win rate (810 games)
  • Blitz: 48.0% win rate (285 games)
  • Rapid: 48.9% win rate (22 games)
  • Classical: 33.3% win rate (3 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399——
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999
2000-2199——
2200-2499———
2500+————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 37.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 41.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (21 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 38.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 37.1% expected score (49 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 33.7% expected score (20 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (109 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 43.4% expected score (82 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (193 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 56.2% expected score (87 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (220 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (50 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (139 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 65.2% expected score (15 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (67 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Van Geet Opening
49.5%
Variations (5)
Van Geet Opening: Battambang Variation
48.5%
Van Geet Opening: Berlin Gambit
52.3%
Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit
50.6%
Van Geet Opening: Caro-Kann Variation, St. Patrick's Attack
48.4%
Van Geet Opening: Damhaug Gambit
47.7%
Analyze Van Geet Opening: Melleby Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Van Geet Opening: Melleby Gambit win rate?

The Van Geet Opening: Melleby Gambit has a 48.1% (90% CI: 45.7%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Van Geet Opening: Melleby Gambit perform best?

The Van Geet Opening: Melleby Gambit performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 52.0% win rate for white (290 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Van Geet Opening: Melleby Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (48.1%) outperforms Blitz (48.0%) by 0.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Van Geet Opening: Melleby Gambit?

The Van Geet Opening: Melleby Gambit has a sharpness score of 98.3 (very decisive), meaning 98.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Melleby Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Melleby Gambit has a 46.4% (90% CI: 40.7%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 202 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Melleby Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Melleby Gambit has a 52.0% (90% CI: 47.2%-56.8%) win rate for white, based on 290 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 0.5% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Melleby Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Melleby Gambit has a 47.9% (90% CI: 42.9%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 271 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Melleby Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Melleby Gambit has a 49.8% (90% CI: 43.3%-56.4%) win rate for white, based on 154 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Melleby Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Van Geet Opening: Melleby Gambit has a 48.1% (90% CI: 45.2%-51.0%) win rate for white (810 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Melleby Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Van Geet Opening: Melleby Gambit has a 48.0% (90% CI: 43.2%-52.8%) win rate for white (285 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.6%.

Is the Van Geet Opening: Melleby Gambit a good opening?

The Van Geet Opening: Melleby Gambit is slightly favors black with a 48.1% (90% CI: 45.7%-50.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.