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Trompowsky Attack: Poisoned Pawn Variation

13K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.2%Range (90% confident): 53.5% – 54.9%Based on 13K games
0%54.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.5% – 54.9%
Outcome Distribution
52.2%4.1%43.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.Nc3
Trompowsky Attack: Poisoned Pawn Variation
Analyzen=13K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.1%

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Poisoned Pawn Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Trompowsky Attack: Poisoned Pawn Variation has a 54.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.5% and 54.9%), based on 13K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 20% → 54%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1000-1199: 42.9% win rate (9 games)
  • 1200-1399: 59.0% win rate (18 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.1% win rate (43 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.2% win rate (99 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.9% win rate (662 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.9% win rate (3,397 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.6% win rate (7,804 games)
  • 2500+: 53.7% win rate (1,435 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (61%), worst in Blitz (52%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 53.3% win rate (3,584 games)
  • Blitz: 51.7% win rate (9,486 games)
  • Rapid: 52.3% win rate (384 games)
  • Classical: 61.3% win rate (14 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999————
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599——
1600-1799——
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 62.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 35.7% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 63.1% expected score (10 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (27 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 58.1% expected score (42 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (47 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (192 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (436 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.5% expected score (32 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (669 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (2,557 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 56.2% expected score (161 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 56.0% expected score (1,962 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.3% expected score (5,687 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.2% expected score (153 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.2% expected score (700 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (716 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (19 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Trompowsky Attack
49.3%
Variations (5)
Trompowsky Attack: Borg Variation
55.7%
Trompowsky Attack: Classical Defense
49.2%
Trompowsky Attack: Classical Defense, Big Center Variation
49.5%
Trompowsky Attack: Edge Variation
50.9%
Trompowsky Attack: Edge Variation, Hergert Gambit
46.2%
Analyze Trompowsky Attack: Poisoned Pawn Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Poisoned Pawn Variation win rate?

The Trompowsky Attack: Poisoned Pawn Variation has a 52.2% (90% CI: 51.5%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 13K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Trompowsky Attack: Poisoned Pawn Variation perform best?

The Trompowsky Attack: Poisoned Pawn Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 52.6% win rate for white (7.8K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Trompowsky Attack: Poisoned Pawn Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (53.3%) outperforms Rapid (52.3%) by 1.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Trompowsky Attack: Poisoned Pawn Variation?

The Trompowsky Attack: Poisoned Pawn Variation has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Poisoned Pawn Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Trompowsky Attack: Poisoned Pawn Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 47.7%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 662 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Poisoned Pawn Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Trompowsky Attack: Poisoned Pawn Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 49.5%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 3.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Poisoned Pawn Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Trompowsky Attack: Poisoned Pawn Variation has a 52.6% (90% CI: 51.6%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 7.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Poisoned Pawn Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Trompowsky Attack: Poisoned Pawn Variation has a 53.7% (90% CI: 51.5%-55.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Poisoned Pawn Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Trompowsky Attack: Poisoned Pawn Variation has a 53.3% (90% CI: 51.9%-54.6%) win rate for white (3.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Poisoned Pawn Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Trompowsky Attack: Poisoned Pawn Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 50.9%-52.6%) win rate for white (9.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Poisoned Pawn Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Trompowsky Attack: Poisoned Pawn Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 48.1%-56.4%) win rate for white (384 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.8%.

Is the Trompowsky Attack: Poisoned Pawn Variation a good opening?

The Trompowsky Attack: Poisoned Pawn Variation is statistically favors white with a 52.2% (90% CI: 51.5%-52.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.