TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Trompowsky Attack: Edge Variation, Hergert Gambit

149 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score47.7%Range (90% confident): 41.0% – 54.4%Based on 149 games
0%47.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 41.0% – 54.4%
Outcome Distribution
46.2%3.0%50.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.e4
Trompowsky Attack: Edge Variation, Hergert Gambit
Analyzen=149
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.0%

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Edge Variation, Hergert Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Trompowsky Attack: Edge Variation, Hergert Gambit has a 47.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 41.0% and 54.4%), based on 149 Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 14% → 48%

1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1200-1399: 14.3% win rate (2 games)
  • 1400-1599: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1600-1799: 36.8% win rate (8 games)
  • 1800-1999: 63.0% win rate (12 games)
  • 2000-2199: 38.5% win rate (31 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.8% win rate (85 games)
  • 2500+: 47.8% win rate (10 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (51%), worst in Blitz (42%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid

  • Bullet: 51.3% win rate (58 games)
  • Blitz: 42.4% win rate (87 games)
  • Rapid: 45.5% win rate (4 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199—————
1200-1399———
1400-1599————
1600-1799————
1800-1999———
2000-2199———
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 67.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 27.8% expected score (21 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.2% expected score (37 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (46 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Trompowsky Attack
49.3%
Variations (5)
Trompowsky Attack: Borg Variation
55.7%
Trompowsky Attack: Classical Defense
49.2%
Trompowsky Attack: Classical Defense, Big Center Variation
49.5%
Trompowsky Attack: Edge Variation
50.9%
Trompowsky Attack: Poisoned Pawn Variation
52.2%
Analyze Trompowsky Attack: Edge Variation, Hergert Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Edge Variation, Hergert Gambit win rate?

The Trompowsky Attack: Edge Variation, Hergert Gambit has a 46.2% (90% CI: 39.5%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 149 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Trompowsky Attack: Edge Variation, Hergert Gambit perform best?

The Trompowsky Attack: Edge Variation, Hergert Gambit performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 46.8% win rate for white (85 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Trompowsky Attack: Edge Variation, Hergert Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.3%) outperforms Blitz (42.4%) by 8.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Trompowsky Attack: Edge Variation, Hergert Gambit?

The Trompowsky Attack: Edge Variation, Hergert Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.0 (very decisive), meaning 97.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

Is the Trompowsky Attack: Edge Variation, Hergert Gambit a good opening?

The Trompowsky Attack: Edge Variation, Hergert Gambit is slightly favors black with a 46.2% (90% CI: 39.5%-52.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.