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St. George Defense: San Jorge Variation

11K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score49.3%Range (90% confident): 48.5% – 50.1%Based on 11K games
0%49.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.5% – 50.1%
Outcome Distribution
47.2%4.1%48.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...Bg7
St. George Defense: San Jorge Variation
Analyzen=11K
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.1%

What is the St. George Defense: San Jorge Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the St. George Defense: San Jorge Variation has a 49.3% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 48.5% and 50.1%), based on 11K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 60% → 43%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 60.0% win rate (11 games)
  • 1000-1199: 53.1% win rate (88 games)
  • 1200-1399: 52.6% win rate (317 games)
  • 1400-1599: 52.2% win rate (746 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.0% win rate (1,797 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.3% win rate (2,722 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.3% win rate (2,251 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.8% win rate (2,086 games)
  • 2500+: 43.2% win rate (910 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (55%), worst in UltraBullet (27%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 27.3% win rate (4 games)
  • Bullet: 47.3% win rate (5,310 games)
  • Blitz: 47.5% win rate (5,056 games)
  • Rapid: 43.0% win rate (544 games)
  • Classical: 54.8% win rate (14 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (46 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 60.2% expected score (33 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 35.7% expected score (9 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (187 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (117 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 35.2% expected score (12 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 56.7% expected score (268 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (433 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 56.9% expected score (42 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (619 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (1,039 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 43.6% expected score (131 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 56.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (854 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (1,633 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (230 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 77.3% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (962 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.4% expected score (1,190 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 46.0% expected score (98 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (1,554 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.3% expected score (512 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 22.1% expected score (20 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.0% expected score (814 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 39.7% expected score (95 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
St. George Defense
49.7%
Variations (2)
St. George Defense: Polish Variation
49.8%
St. George Defense: Zilbermints Gambit
53.6%
Analyze St. George Defense: San Jorge Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the St. George Defense: San Jorge Variation win rate?

The St. George Defense: San Jorge Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 47.9%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 11K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the St. George Defense: San Jorge Variation perform best?

The St. George Defense: San Jorge Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 51.6% win rate for white (2.1K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the St. George Defense: San Jorge Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (49.6%) outperforms Blitz (47.6%) by 2.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the St. George Defense: San Jorge Variation?

The St. George Defense: San Jorge Variation has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the St. George Defense: San Jorge Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the St. George Defense: San Jorge Variation has a 46.3% (90% CI: 41.7%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 317 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 1.1% draw rate.

What is the St. George Defense: San Jorge Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the St. George Defense: San Jorge Variation has a 44.7% (90% CI: 41.8%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 746 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the St. George Defense: San Jorge Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the St. George Defense: San Jorge Variation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 45.0%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the St. George Defense: San Jorge Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the St. George Defense: San Jorge Variation has a 47.3% (90% CI: 45.8%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the St. George Defense: San Jorge Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the St. George Defense: San Jorge Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 48.3%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the St. George Defense: San Jorge Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the St. George Defense: San Jorge Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 49.8%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the St. George Defense: San Jorge Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the St. George Defense: San Jorge Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 48.0%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 910 Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the St. George Defense: San Jorge Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the St. George Defense: San Jorge Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.5%-50.7%) win rate for white (5.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the St. George Defense: San Jorge Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the St. George Defense: San Jorge Variation has a 47.6% (90% CI: 46.4%-48.7%) win rate for white (5.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the St. George Defense: San Jorge Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the St. George Defense: San Jorge Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 47.2%-54.2%) win rate for white (544 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.

Is the St. George Defense: San Jorge Variation a good opening?

The St. George Defense: San Jorge Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.7% (90% CI: 47.9%-49.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.