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Analyzer

Slav Defense: Soultanbeieff Variation

52K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score44.5%Range (90% confident): 44.1% – 44.8%Based on 52K games
0%44.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 44.1% – 44.8%
Outcome Distribution
41.8%5.3%52.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...e6
Slav Defense: Soultanbeieff Variation
Analyzen=52K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.3%

What is the Slav Defense: Soultanbeieff Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Slav Defense: Soultanbeieff Variation has a 44.5% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 44.1% and 44.8%), based on 52K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 41% → 34%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 40.5% win rate (96 games)
  • 1000-1199: 43.1% win rate (336 games)
  • 1200-1399: 38.6% win rate (953 games)
  • 1400-1599: 40.7% win rate (2,773 games)
  • 1600-1799: 42.1% win rate (7,233 games)
  • 1800-1999: 42.0% win rate (13,281 games)
  • 2000-2199: 42.5% win rate (13,914 games)
  • 2200-2499: 42.8% win rate (10,441 games)
  • 2500+: 34.0% win rate (2,655 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (43%), worst in Rapid (39%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 43.3% win rate (62 games)
  • Bullet: 42.3% win rate (24,574 games)
  • Blitz: 41.7% win rate (23,416 games)
  • Rapid: 38.8% win rate (3,432 games)
  • Classical: 40.4% win rate (198 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 41.9% expected score (54 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 44.0% expected score (40 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (200 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 41.0% expected score (104 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 36.2% expected score (31 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 44.2% expected score (512 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 35.8% expected score (356 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 34.5% expected score (79 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 43.9% expected score (1,277 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 40.9% expected score (1,244 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 39.0% expected score (226 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (16 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (29 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 43.4% expected score (2,947 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 44.6% expected score (3,646 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 41.4% expected score (566 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 46.8% expected score (45 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 33.9% expected score (14 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 45.3% expected score (5,302 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 43.7% expected score (6,835 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 40.9% expected score (1,070 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 46.0% expected score (60 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 44.7% expected score (6,401 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 45.2% expected score (6,505 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 44.8% expected score (953 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 44.2% expected score (50 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 44.7% expected score (5,960 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (4,020 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 45.7% expected score (445 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 43.6% expected score (14 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 42.5% expected score (1,921 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 44.7% expected score (666 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 45.2% expected score (60 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 39.5% expected score (8 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Slav Defense
50.8%
Variations (5)
Slav Defense: Exchange Variation
50.4%
Slav Defense: Three Knights Variation
51.1%
Slav Defense: Modern Line
51.9%
Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense
49.6%
Slav Defense: Slav Gambit, Alekhine Attack
52.8%
Analyze Slav Defense: Soultanbeieff Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Slav Defense: Soultanbeieff Variation win rate?

The Slav Defense: Soultanbeieff Variation has a 52.9% (90% CI: 52.6%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 52K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Slav Defense: Soultanbeieff Variation perform best?

The Slav Defense: Soultanbeieff Variation performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 58.0% win rate for white (953 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Slav Defense: Soultanbeieff Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (53.4%) outperforms UltraBullet (52.8%) by 0.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Slav Defense: Soultanbeieff Variation?

The Slav Defense: Soultanbeieff Variation has a sharpness score of 94.7 (decisive), meaning 94.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Slav Defense: Soultanbeieff Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Slav Defense: Soultanbeieff Variation has a 53.8% (90% CI: 49.3%-58.2%) win rate for white, based on 336 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Soultanbeieff Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Slav Defense: Soultanbeieff Variation has a 58.0% (90% CI: 55.4%-60.6%) win rate for white, based on 953 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Soultanbeieff Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Slav Defense: Soultanbeieff Variation has a 56.5% (90% CI: 55.0%-58.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Soultanbeieff Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Slav Defense: Soultanbeieff Variation has a 54.4% (90% CI: 53.4%-55.3%) win rate for white, based on 7.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Soultanbeieff Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Slav Defense: Soultanbeieff Variation has a 53.8% (90% CI: 53.1%-54.5%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Soultanbeieff Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Slav Defense: Soultanbeieff Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.0%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Soultanbeieff Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Slav Defense: Soultanbeieff Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.1%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Soultanbeieff Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Slav Defense: Soultanbeieff Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 46.2%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 45 moves with a 18.2% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Soultanbeieff Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Slav Defense: Soultanbeieff Variation has a 53.4% (90% CI: 52.8%-53.9%) win rate for white (25K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the Slav Defense: Soultanbeieff Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Slav Defense: Soultanbeieff Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 51.8%-52.9%) win rate for white (23K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.0%.

What is the Slav Defense: Soultanbeieff Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Slav Defense: Soultanbeieff Variation has a 54.0% (90% CI: 52.6%-55.4%) win rate for white (3.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.2%.

What is the Slav Defense: Soultanbeieff Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Slav Defense: Soultanbeieff Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 45.6%-57.2%) win rate for white (198 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.3%.

Is the Slav Defense: Soultanbeieff Variation a good opening?

The Slav Defense: Soultanbeieff Variation is statistically favors white with a 52.9% (90% CI: 52.6%-53.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.