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Slav Defense: Quiet Variation

472K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.0%Range (90% confident): 52.9% – 53.1%Based on 472K games
0%53.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.9% – 53.1%
Outcome Distribution
50.3%5.4%44.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.e3
Slav Defense: Quiet Variation
Analyzen=472K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.4%

What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation has a 53.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.9% and 53.1%), based on 472K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~52%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 51.5% win rate (7,165 games)
  • 1000-1199: 52.5% win rate (16,026 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.8% win rate (28,678 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.0% win rate (46,957 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.0% win rate (72,652 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.7% win rate (94,059 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.6% win rate (91,365 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.2% win rate (89,940 games)
  • 2500+: 51.3% win rate (25,540 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~51%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 50.2% win rate (2,393 games)
  • Bullet: 50.5% win rate (217,179 games)
  • Blitz: 50.1% win rate (210,343 games)
  • Rapid: 49.9% win rate (40,453 games)
  • Classical: 49.9% win rate (2,014 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 39.7% expected score (13 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (2,081 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (3,901 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 55.6% expected score (1,166 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 45.7% expected score (33 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (5,275 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (8,018 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 55.0% expected score (2,669 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 59.2% expected score (31 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 55.7% expected score (95 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (10,608 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (13,426 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (4,392 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 61.1% expected score (157 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 46.0% expected score (285 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (17,879 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (22,317 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.8% expected score (6,089 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 51.2% expected score (387 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 51.7% expected score (1,042 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (29,158 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (34,318 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (7,628 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 51.9% expected score (506 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 54.7% expected score (579 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (40,818 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (43,010 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.7% expected score (9,089 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 53.1% expected score (563 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 48.4% expected score (209 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (44,802 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (40,277 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.4% expected score (5,823 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 60.2% expected score (254 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (130 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (49,243 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (37,399 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.7% expected score (3,100 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 68.0% expected score (68 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.6% expected score (17,315 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 59.3% expected score (7,677 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 59.4% expected score (497 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 53.3% expected score (44 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Slav Defense
50.8%
Variations (5)
Slav Defense: Alapin Variation
53.2%
Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation
51.7%
Slav Defense: Bonet Gambit
49.7%
Slav Defense: Breyer Variation
50.3%
Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation
49.1%
Continuations (3)
Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Amsterdam Variation
40.7%
Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense
49.6%
Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Schallopp Defense
48.2%
Analyze Slav Defense: Quiet Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation win rate?

The Slav Defense: Quiet Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 472K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation perform best?

The Slav Defense: Quiet Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 52.5% win rate for white (16K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.5%) outperforms Classical (49.9%) by 0.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation?

The Slav Defense: Quiet Variation has a sharpness score of 94.6 (decisive), meaning 94.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 50.5%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 7.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation has a 52.5% (90% CI: 51.8%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.3%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 29K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 47K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 73K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 94K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.3%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 91K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 90K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.8% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 26K Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 10.9% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 48.5%-51.9%) win rate for white (2.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.1%.

What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.4%-50.7%) win rate for white (217K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.3%) win rate for white (210K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.4%.

What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.3%) win rate for white (40K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.2%.

What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 48.1%-51.8%) win rate for white (2.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.4%.

Is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation a good opening?

The Slav Defense: Quiet Variation is statistically favors white with a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.