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Slav Defense: Exchange Variation, Trifunovic Variation

7.8K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score44.9%Range (90% confident): 43.9% – 45.8%Based on 7.8K games
0%44.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 43.9% – 45.8%
Outcome Distribution
39.4%10.9%49.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
8...Bb4
Slav Defense: Exchange Variation, Trifunovic Variation
Analyzen=7.8K
Avg Length39 moves
Sharpness89%
Draw Rate10.9%

What is the Slav Defense: Exchange Variation, Trifunovic Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Slav Defense: Exchange Variation, Trifunovic Variation has a 44.9% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 43.9% and 45.8%), based on 7.8K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 58% → 35%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 57.9% win rate (8 games)
  • 1000-1199: 27.5% win rate (44 games)
  • 1200-1399: 44.4% win rate (92 games)
  • 1400-1599: 33.7% win rate (172 games)
  • 1600-1799: 43.8% win rate (246 games)
  • 1800-1999: 41.2% win rate (354 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.0% win rate (846 games)
  • 2200-2499: 40.4% win rate (3,782 games)
  • 2500+: 35.2% win rate (2,273 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (60%), worst in Blitz (38%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 41.1% win rate (2,554 games)
  • Blitz: 38.3% win rate (4,710 games)
  • Rapid: 39.4% win rate (522 games)
  • Classical: 46.0% win rate (30 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799——
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 28.1% expected score (19 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (21 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 40.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 36.8% expected score (25 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (49 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 39.8% expected score (18 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 34.3% expected score (43 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 39.7% expected score (91 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 33.1% expected score (34 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (59 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (127 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.6% expected score (60 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (93 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 38.5% expected score (215 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 61.3% expected score (43 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 45.1% expected score (225 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (531 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 60.1% expected score (78 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (12 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 44.5% expected score (1,058 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 46.7% expected score (2,501 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 45.2% expected score (214 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 44.8% expected score (8 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 45.6% expected score (1,029 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 38.7% expected score (1,171 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 42.3% expected score (70 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 61.1% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Slav Defense
50.8%
Variations (5)
Slav Defense: Exchange Variation
50.4%
Slav Defense: Three Knights Variation
51.1%
Slav Defense: Modern Line
51.9%
Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense
49.6%
Slav Defense: Slav Gambit, Alekhine Attack
52.8%
Analyze Slav Defense: Exchange Variation, Trifunovic Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Slav Defense: Exchange Variation, Trifunovic Variation win rate?

The Slav Defense: Exchange Variation, Trifunovic Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 48.8%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 7.8K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Slav Defense: Exchange Variation, Trifunovic Variation perform best?

The Slav Defense: Exchange Variation, Trifunovic Variation performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 60.8% win rate for white (172 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Slav Defense: Exchange Variation, Trifunovic Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.4%) outperforms Rapid (44.2%) by 7.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Slav Defense: Exchange Variation, Trifunovic Variation?

The Slav Defense: Exchange Variation, Trifunovic Variation has a sharpness score of 89.1 (moderately decisive), meaning 89.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.

What is the Slav Defense: Exchange Variation, Trifunovic Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Slav Defense: Exchange Variation, Trifunovic Variation has a 60.8% (90% CI: 54.7%-66.8%) win rate for white, based on 172 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Exchange Variation, Trifunovic Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Slav Defense: Exchange Variation, Trifunovic Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 42.7%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 246 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 8.3% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Exchange Variation, Trifunovic Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Slav Defense: Exchange Variation, Trifunovic Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 46.7%-55.4%) win rate for white, based on 354 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 7.7% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Exchange Variation, Trifunovic Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Slav Defense: Exchange Variation, Trifunovic Variation has a 47.4% (90% CI: 44.6%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 846 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 7.6% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Exchange Variation, Trifunovic Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Slav Defense: Exchange Variation, Trifunovic Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 47.1%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 11.2% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Exchange Variation, Trifunovic Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Slav Defense: Exchange Variation, Trifunovic Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 49.6%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 13.5% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Exchange Variation, Trifunovic Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Slav Defense: Exchange Variation, Trifunovic Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 49.8%-53.0%) win rate for white (2.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.5%.

What is the Slav Defense: Exchange Variation, Trifunovic Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Slav Defense: Exchange Variation, Trifunovic Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.4%-50.8%) win rate for white (4.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 12.1%.

What is the Slav Defense: Exchange Variation, Trifunovic Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Slav Defense: Exchange Variation, Trifunovic Variation has a 44.2% (90% CI: 40.7%-47.8%) win rate for white (522 Lichess games). Draw rate is 16.3%.

Is the Slav Defense: Exchange Variation, Trifunovic Variation a good opening?

The Slav Defense: Exchange Variation, Trifunovic Variation is statistically favors white with a 49.7% (90% CI: 48.8%-50.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.