TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation, Advance System

37K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Play This
White Expected Score53.0%Range (90% confident): 52.5% – 53.4%Based on 37K games
0%53.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.5% – 53.4%
Outcome Distribution
49.0%7.9%43.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.c5
Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation, Advance System
Analyzen=37K
Avg Length39 moves
Sharpness92%
Draw Rate7.9%

What is the Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation, Advance System expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation, Advance System has a 53.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.5% and 53.4%), based on 37K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 54% → 49%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 53.6% win rate (33 games)
  • 1000-1199: 57.2% win rate (99 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.7% win rate (187 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.8% win rate (331 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.4% win rate (959 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.3% win rate (3,564 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.2% win rate (10,300 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.2% win rate (16,413 games)
  • 2500+: 48.8% win rate (4,785 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~50%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 49.4% win rate (9,113 games)
  • Blitz: 48.7% win rate (25,195 games)
  • Rapid: 50.2% win rate (2,187 games)
  • Classical: 48.2% win rate (176 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 67.2% expected score (16 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 23.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 59.3% expected score (20 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (52 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 65.8% expected score (27 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.3% expected score (55 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (95 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 56.7% expected score (36 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 65.2% expected score (81 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (175 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 40.2% expected score (65 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 54.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (230 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.2% expected score (565 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 55.1% expected score (147 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 55.4% expected score (17 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (855 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (2,340 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.6% expected score (321 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 48.0% expected score (48 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (1,615 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (7,851 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (775 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 59.1% expected score (59 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (4,031 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (11,650 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 60.7% expected score (712 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 68.6% expected score (20 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.0% expected score (2,215 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.3% expected score (2,451 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 60.1% expected score (98 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 63.4% expected score (21 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Slav Defense
50.8%
Variations (5)
Slav Defense: Alapin Variation
53.2%
Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation
51.7%
Slav Defense: Bonet Gambit
49.7%
Slav Defense: Breyer Variation
50.3%
Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation
49.1%
Analyze Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation, Advance System PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation, Advance System win rate?

The Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation, Advance System has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 37K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation, Advance System perform best?

The Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation, Advance System performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 57.2% win rate for white (99 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation, Advance System better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (49.4%) outperforms Classical (48.2%) by 1.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation, Advance System?

The Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation, Advance System has a sharpness score of 92.1 (decisive), meaning 92.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.

What is the Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation, Advance System win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation, Advance System has a 50.7% (90% CI: 44.7%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 187 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 6.6% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation, Advance System win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation, Advance System has a 49.8% (90% CI: 45.3%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 331 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation, Advance System win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation, Advance System has a 51.4% (90% CI: 48.7%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 959 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation, Advance System win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation, Advance System has a 49.3% (90% CI: 47.9%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 3.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation, Advance System win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation, Advance System has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.4%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.7% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation, Advance System win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation, Advance System has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.6% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation, Advance System win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation, Advance System has a 48.8% (90% CI: 47.6%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 4.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 46 moves with a 14.9% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation, Advance System win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation, Advance System has a 49.4% (90% CI: 48.6%-50.3%) win rate for white (9.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.6%.

What is the Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation, Advance System win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation, Advance System has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.2%-49.2%) win rate for white (25K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.1%.

What is the Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation, Advance System win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation, Advance System has a 50.2% (90% CI: 48.5%-52.0%) win rate for white (2.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.5%.

What is the Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation, Advance System win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation, Advance System has a 48.2% (90% CI: 42.0%-54.3%) win rate for white (176 Lichess games). Draw rate is 18.3%.

Is the Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation, Advance System a good opening?

The Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation, Advance System is statistically favors white with a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.