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Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation

130K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.8%Range (90% confident): 53.5% – 54.0%Based on 130K games
0%53.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.5% – 54.0%
Outcome Distribution
51.7%4.1%44.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.e3
Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation
Analyzen=130K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.1%

What is the Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation has a 53.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.5% and 54.0%), based on 130K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~52%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 51.8% win rate (1,399 games)
  • 1000-1199: 56.4% win rate (3,702 games)
  • 1200-1399: 53.9% win rate (6,817 games)
  • 1400-1599: 53.7% win rate (11,206 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.6% win rate (19,487 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.5% win rate (29,340 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.1% win rate (30,752 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.6% win rate (23,053 games)
  • 2500+: 52.7% win rate (4,278 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (54%), worst in Classical (49%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 53.7% win rate (1,088 games)
  • Bullet: 51.5% win rate (74,415 games)
  • Blitz: 51.8% win rate (45,178 games)
  • Rapid: 52.1% win rate (8,857 games)
  • Classical: 49.3% win rate (496 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 47.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (441 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (738 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 56.6% expected score (205 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 43.7% expected score (30 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 57.9% expected score (1,428 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 59.0% expected score (1,591 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 56.3% expected score (642 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 66.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 59.6% expected score (72 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (3,223 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 55.8% expected score (2,562 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 57.1% expected score (915 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 56.5% expected score (45 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 52.3% expected score (258 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (5,599 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 57.4% expected score (3,997 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 55.0% expected score (1,272 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 52.5% expected score (80 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 55.7% expected score (367 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (10,486 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.9% expected score (6,942 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.9% expected score (1,555 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 45.7% expected score (137 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 53.2% expected score (247 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (16,321 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (10,527 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.6% expected score (2,085 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 54.4% expected score (160 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 59.3% expected score (79 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (18,103 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (10,980 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (1,535 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 54.5% expected score (55 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 52.5% expected score (19 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (15,230 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.2% expected score (7,175 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 58.0% expected score (622 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.1% expected score (3,584 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 59.2% expected score (666 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 71.9% expected score (26 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Slav Defense
50.8%
Variations (5)
Slav Defense: Alapin Variation
53.2%
Slav Defense: Bonet Gambit
49.7%
Slav Defense: Breyer Variation
50.3%
Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation
49.1%
Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation, Advance System
49.0%
Analyze Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation win rate?

The Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.4%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 130K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation perform best?

The Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 56.4% win rate for white (3.7K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (51.8%) outperforms Classical (49.3%) by 2.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation?

The Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 49.6%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation has a 56.4% (90% CI: 55.1%-57.8%) win rate for white, based on 3.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation has a 53.9% (90% CI: 52.9%-54.9%) win rate for white, based on 6.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation has a 53.7% (90% CI: 52.9%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation has a 52.6% (90% CI: 52.0%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 51.0%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 29K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 31K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.0%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 51.4%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 4.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 6.4% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation has a 53.7% (90% CI: 51.3%-56.2%) win rate for white (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.3%.

What is the Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 51.2%-51.8%) win rate for white (74K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.4%-52.2%) win rate for white (45K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.2%-52.9%) win rate for white (8.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

What is the Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 45.7%-53.0%) win rate for white (496 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.1%.

Is the Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation a good opening?

The Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation is statistically favors white with a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.4%-51.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.