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Slav Defense: Alapin Variation

67K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score55.4%Range (90% confident): 55.1% – 55.7%Based on 67K games
0%55.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 55.1% – 55.7%
Outcome Distribution
53.2%4.4%42.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.a4
Slav Defense: Alapin Variation
Analyzen=67K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.4%

What is the Slav Defense: Alapin Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Slav Defense: Alapin Variation has a 55.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 55.1% and 55.7%), based on 67K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~54%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 53.9% win rate (107 games)
  • 1000-1199: 55.7% win rate (414 games)
  • 1200-1399: 58.5% win rate (1,066 games)
  • 1400-1599: 55.5% win rate (2,996 games)
  • 1600-1799: 54.7% win rate (8,167 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.9% win rate (17,104 games)
  • 2000-2199: 52.0% win rate (20,579 games)
  • 2200-2499: 53.1% win rate (13,875 games)
  • 2500+: 54.3% win rate (2,684 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (63%), worst in Bullet (53%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 63.3% win rate (23 games)
  • Bullet: 52.7% win rate (25,062 games)
  • Blitz: 53.0% win rate (36,109 games)
  • Rapid: 56.4% win rate (5,493 games)
  • Classical: 54.0% win rate (305 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (59 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (35 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 81.1% expected score (13 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.6% expected score (247 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 60.1% expected score (132 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 59.6% expected score (35 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.8% expected score (527 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 62.8% expected score (419 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 68.2% expected score (111 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 90.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 55.3% expected score (1,103 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 57.3% expected score (1,541 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 63.1% expected score (319 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 61.9% expected score (28 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 67.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.2% expected score (2,704 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 57.2% expected score (4,585 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 58.2% expected score (784 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 49.4% expected score (84 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (4,773 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.9% expected score (10,282 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 58.9% expected score (1,912 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 57.8% expected score (134 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (6,386 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (12,407 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 57.8% expected score (1,743 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 61.3% expected score (43 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (7,146 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.7% expected score (6,151 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (567 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 76.1% expected score (10 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 58.6% expected score (2,117 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (557 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 73.8% expected score (9 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Slav Defense
50.8%
Variations (5)
Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation
51.7%
Slav Defense: Bonet Gambit
49.7%
Slav Defense: Breyer Variation
50.3%
Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation
49.1%
Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation, Advance System
49.0%
Analyze Slav Defense: Alapin Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Slav Defense: Alapin Variation win rate?

The Slav Defense: Alapin Variation has a 53.2% (90% CI: 52.9%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 67K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Slav Defense: Alapin Variation perform best?

The Slav Defense: Alapin Variation performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 58.5% win rate for white (1.1K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Slav Defense: Alapin Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (56.4%) outperforms Classical (54.0%) by 2.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Slav Defense: Alapin Variation?

The Slav Defense: Alapin Variation has a sharpness score of 95.6 (very decisive), meaning 95.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Slav Defense: Alapin Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Slav Defense: Alapin Variation has a 53.9% (90% CI: 46.0%-61.7%) win rate for white, based on 107 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Alapin Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Slav Defense: Alapin Variation has a 55.7% (90% CI: 51.7%-59.7%) win rate for white, based on 414 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Alapin Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Slav Defense: Alapin Variation has a 58.5% (90% CI: 56.0%-61.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Alapin Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Slav Defense: Alapin Variation has a 55.5% (90% CI: 54.0%-57.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Alapin Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Slav Defense: Alapin Variation has a 54.7% (90% CI: 53.8%-55.6%) win rate for white, based on 8.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Alapin Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Slav Defense: Alapin Variation has a 52.9% (90% CI: 52.3%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Alapin Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Slav Defense: Alapin Variation has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.5%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Alapin Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Slav Defense: Alapin Variation has a 53.1% (90% CI: 52.4%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Alapin Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Slav Defense: Alapin Variation has a 54.3% (90% CI: 52.7%-55.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Alapin Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Slav Defense: Alapin Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.2%-53.2%) win rate for white (25K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the Slav Defense: Alapin Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Slav Defense: Alapin Variation has a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.6%-53.4%) win rate for white (36K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the Slav Defense: Alapin Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Slav Defense: Alapin Variation has a 56.4% (90% CI: 55.3%-57.5%) win rate for white (5.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

What is the Slav Defense: Alapin Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Slav Defense: Alapin Variation has a 54.0% (90% CI: 49.3%-58.7%) win rate for white (305 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.0%.

Is the Slav Defense: Alapin Variation a good opening?

The Slav Defense: Alapin Variation is statistically favors white with a 53.2% (90% CI: 52.9%-53.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.