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Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation, Center Variation

1.2K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score52.9%Range (90% confident): 50.5% – 55.3%Based on 1.2K games
0%52.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.5% – 55.3%
Outcome Distribution
48.8%8.2%43.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
7.e4
Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation, Center Variation
Analyzen=1.2K
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness92%
Draw Rate8.2%

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation, Center Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation, Center Variation has a 52.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.5% and 55.3%), based on 1.2K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~60%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1000-1199: 45.5% win rate (4 games)
  • 1200-1399: 31.7% win rate (19 games)
  • 1400-1599: 60.0% win rate (26 games)
  • 1600-1799: 41.5% win rate (84 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.4% win rate (160 games)
  • 2000-2199: 44.6% win rate (345 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.7% win rate (398 games)
  • 2500+: 59.5% win rate (127 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (52%), worst in Classical (31%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 51.9% win rate (271 games)
  • Blitz: 48.4% win rate (747 games)
  • Rapid: 45.7% win rate (133 games)
  • Classical: 31.0% win rate (13 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999————
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 27.8% expected score (12 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 88.5% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 39.8% expected score (18 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (52 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 45.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 13.7% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (20 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (107 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (30 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 72.3% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 44.6% expected score (44 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (248 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.2% expected score (51 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (98 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (269 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.9% expected score (29 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 65.1% expected score (78 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 60.1% expected score (43 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 80.8% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Semi-Slav Defense
51.5%
Variations (5)
Semi-Slav Defense: Accelerated Meran Variation
50.4%
Semi-Slav Defense: Accelerated Move Order
50.8%
Semi-Slav Defense: Anti-Moscow Gambit
48.2%
Semi-Slav Defense: Anti-Noteboom, Stonewall Variation, Portisch Gambit
54.1%
Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubov Variation
51.5%
Analyze Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation, Center Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation, Center Variation win rate?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation, Center Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 46.4%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation, Center Variation perform best?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation, Center Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 59.5% win rate for white (127 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation, Center Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.9%) outperforms Rapid (45.7%) by 6.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation, Center Variation?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation, Center Variation has a sharpness score of 91.8 (decisive), meaning 91.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation, Center Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation, Center Variation has a 47.4% (90% CI: 40.9%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 160 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 10.2% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation, Center Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation, Center Variation has a 44.6% (90% CI: 40.2%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 345 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 8.8% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation, Center Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation, Center Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 46.6%-54.8%) win rate for white, based on 398 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 8.1% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation, Center Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation, Center Variation has a 59.5% (90% CI: 52.4%-66.5%) win rate for white, based on 127 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 9.7% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation, Center Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation, Center Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 46.9%-56.9%) win rate for white (271 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.2%.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation, Center Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation, Center Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 45.4%-51.4%) win rate for white (747 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.8%.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation, Center Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation, Center Variation has a 45.7% (90% CI: 38.7%-52.8%) win rate for white (133 Lichess games). Draw rate is 11.5%.

Is the Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation, Center Variation a good opening?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Stoltz Variation, Center Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.8% (90% CI: 46.4%-51.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.