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Semi-Slav Defense: Semi-Meran Variation

12K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score56.8%Range (90% confident): 56.0% – 57.5%Based on 12K games
0%56.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 56.0% – 57.5%
Outcome Distribution
54.3%4.9%40.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
7.Bxc4
Semi-Slav Defense: Semi-Meran Variation
Analyzen=12K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.9%

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Semi-Meran Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Semi-Slav Defense: Semi-Meran Variation has a 56.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 56.0% and 57.5%), based on 12K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 45% → 58%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 44.6% win rate (49 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.6% win rate (130 games)
  • 1200-1399: 55.8% win rate (388 games)
  • 1400-1599: 55.5% win rate (1,011 games)
  • 1600-1799: 53.5% win rate (2,506 games)
  • 1800-1999: 54.1% win rate (3,620 games)
  • 2000-2199: 53.9% win rate (2,889 games)
  • 2200-2499: 54.9% win rate (1,425 games)
  • 2500+: 57.8% win rate (404 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (55%), worst in Classical (48%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 51.2% win rate (19 games)
  • Bullet: 54.5% win rate (3,393 games)
  • Blitz: 54.2% win rate (7,042 games)
  • Rapid: 54.4% win rate (1,861 games)
  • Classical: 48.4% win rate (107 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199——
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 43.0% expected score (20 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.3% expected score (22 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (60 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (53 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 41.9% expected score (17 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.2% expected score (180 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (167 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 60.2% expected score (33 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 59.0% expected score (325 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 56.7% expected score (564 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 56.3% expected score (109 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 38.3% expected score (7 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (604 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.7% expected score (1,486 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 57.6% expected score (382 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 62.3% expected score (31 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 56.4% expected score (749 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 56.7% expected score (2,199 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 57.1% expected score (629 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (38 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.6% expected score (585 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 57.3% expected score (1,746 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 56.9% expected score (532 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 57.6% expected score (25 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 56.0% expected score (551 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 57.0% expected score (725 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 63.4% expected score (148 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 62.7% expected score (319 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 60.4% expected score (80 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 88.5% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Semi-Slav Defense
51.5%
Variations (5)
Semi-Slav Defense: Accelerated Meran Variation
50.4%
Semi-Slav Defense: Accelerated Move Order
50.8%
Semi-Slav Defense: Anti-Moscow Gambit
48.2%
Semi-Slav Defense: Anti-Noteboom, Stonewall Variation, Portisch Gambit
54.1%
Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubov Variation
51.5%
Analyze Semi-Slav Defense: Semi-Meran Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Semi-Meran Variation win rate?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Semi-Meran Variation has a 54.3% (90% CI: 53.5%-55.0%) win rate for white, based on 12K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Semi-Slav Defense: Semi-Meran Variation perform best?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Semi-Meran Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 57.8% win rate for white (404 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Semi-Slav Defense: Semi-Meran Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (54.2%) outperforms Classical (48.4%) by 5.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Semi-Slav Defense: Semi-Meran Variation?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Semi-Meran Variation has a sharpness score of 95.1 (very decisive), meaning 95.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Semi-Meran Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Semi-Meran Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 43.4%-57.7%) win rate for white, based on 130 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Semi-Meran Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Semi-Meran Variation has a 55.8% (90% CI: 51.7%-60.0%) win rate for white, based on 388 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 1.2% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Semi-Meran Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Semi-Meran Variation has a 55.5% (90% CI: 52.9%-58.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Semi-Meran Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Semi-Meran Variation has a 53.5% (90% CI: 51.9%-55.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Semi-Meran Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Semi-Meran Variation has a 54.1% (90% CI: 52.8%-55.5%) win rate for white, based on 3.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Semi-Meran Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Semi-Meran Variation has a 53.9% (90% CI: 52.4%-55.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Semi-Meran Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Semi-Meran Variation has a 54.9% (90% CI: 52.7%-57.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Semi-Meran Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Semi-Meran Variation has a 57.8% (90% CI: 53.8%-61.8%) win rate for white, based on 404 Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 9.7% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Semi-Meran Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Semi-Meran Variation has a 54.5% (90% CI: 53.1%-55.9%) win rate for white (3.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Semi-Meran Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Semi-Meran Variation has a 54.2% (90% CI: 53.2%-55.2%) win rate for white (7.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Semi-Meran Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Semi-Meran Variation has a 54.4% (90% CI: 52.5%-56.3%) win rate for white (1.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.4%.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Semi-Meran Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Semi-Meran Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 40.5%-56.3%) win rate for white (107 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.8%.

Is the Semi-Slav Defense: Semi-Meran Variation a good opening?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Semi-Meran Variation is statistically favors white with a 54.3% (90% CI: 53.5%-55.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.