What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Quiet Variation expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Semi-Slav Defense: Quiet Variation has a 56.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 56.1% and 56.6%), based on 102K Lichess games.
102K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Semi-Slav Defense: Quiet Variation has a 56.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 56.1% and 56.6%), based on 102K Lichess games.
Stable across ratings (~53%)
Best in UltraBullet (57%), worst in Classical (47%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Semi-Slav Defense: Quiet Variation has a 53.5% (90% CI: 53.3%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 102K rated games from Lichess.
The Semi-Slav Defense: Quiet Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 56.6% win rate for white (1.3K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (54.3%) outperforms Classical (47.2%) by 7.1%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Semi-Slav Defense: Quiet Variation has a sharpness score of 94.4 (decisive), meaning 94.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Quiet Variation has a 52.9% (90% CI: 49.2%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 489 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Quiet Variation has a 56.6% (90% CI: 54.3%-58.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Quiet Variation has a 53.9% (90% CI: 52.5%-55.4%) win rate for white, based on 3.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Quiet Variation has a 53.4% (90% CI: 52.4%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 6.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Quiet Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.0%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Quiet Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.1%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Quiet Variation has a 53.6% (90% CI: 53.1%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 25K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Quiet Variation has a 54.4% (90% CI: 53.8%-54.9%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 7.0% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Quiet Variation has a 54.3% (90% CI: 53.3%-55.3%) win rate for white, based on 6.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 11.0% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Quiet Variation has a 54.3% (90% CI: 53.9%-54.8%) win rate for white (39K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.
In Blitz games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Quiet Variation has a 53.2% (90% CI: 52.8%-53.5%) win rate for white (55K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.6%.
In Rapid games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Quiet Variation has a 52.6% (90% CI: 51.7%-53.5%) win rate for white (8.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.0%.
In Classical games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Quiet Variation has a 47.2% (90% CI: 43.3%-51.1%) win rate for white (438 Lichess games). Draw rate is 11.5%.
The Semi-Slav Defense: Quiet Variation is statistically favors white with a 53.5% (90% CI: 53.3%-53.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.