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Semi-Slav Defense: Noteboom Variation, Anti-Noteboom Gambit

18K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score55.1%Range (90% confident): 54.5% – 55.7%Based on 18K games
0%55.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 54.5% – 55.7%
Outcome Distribution
53.0%4.1%42.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.g3
Semi-Slav Defense: Noteboom Variation, Anti-Noteboom Gambit
Analyzen=18K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.1%

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Noteboom Variation, Anti-Noteboom Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Semi-Slav Defense: Noteboom Variation, Anti-Noteboom Gambit has a 55.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.5% and 55.7%), based on 18K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +8.9% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 44% → 53%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 43.7% win rate (82 games)
  • 1000-1199: 57.1% win rate (236 games)
  • 1200-1399: 52.1% win rate (387 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.2% win rate (851 games)
  • 1600-1799: 54.4% win rate (1,795 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.4% win rate (3,568 games)
  • 2000-2199: 53.0% win rate (5,121 games)
  • 2200-2499: 53.3% win rate (4,729 games)
  • 2500+: 53.4% win rate (1,442 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (58%), worst in UltraBullet (41%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 41.4% win rate (48 games)
  • Bullet: 53.8% win rate (8,140 games)
  • Blitz: 52.3% win rate (9,026 games)
  • Rapid: 53.4% win rate (949 games)
  • Classical: 57.6% win rate (48 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 39.1% expected score (26 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (43 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 46.3% expected score (12 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 58.9% expected score (89 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 59.4% expected score (105 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 60.2% expected score (38 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (171 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (151 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 69.5% expected score (55 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 35.7% expected score (9 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (348 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (378 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.6% expected score (108 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 71.1% expected score (8 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 61.5% expected score (16 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (783 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 59.0% expected score (857 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (135 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (1,432 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (1,912 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.5% expected score (200 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 60.9% expected score (17 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.4% expected score (1,928 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (2,917 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 58.0% expected score (260 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 37.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 56.8% expected score (2,307 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.3% expected score (2,285 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 59.0% expected score (133 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.8% expected score (1,056 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.6% expected score (378 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 39.5% expected score (8 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Semi-Slav Defense
51.5%
Variations (5)
Semi-Slav Defense: Accelerated Meran Variation
50.4%
Semi-Slav Defense: Accelerated Move Order
50.8%
Semi-Slav Defense: Anti-Moscow Gambit
48.2%
Semi-Slav Defense: Anti-Noteboom, Stonewall Variation, Portisch Gambit
54.1%
Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubov Variation
51.5%
Analyze Semi-Slav Defense: Noteboom Variation, Anti-Noteboom Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Noteboom Variation, Anti-Noteboom Gambit win rate?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Noteboom Variation, Anti-Noteboom Gambit has a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.4%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 18K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Semi-Slav Defense: Noteboom Variation, Anti-Noteboom Gambit perform best?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Noteboom Variation, Anti-Noteboom Gambit performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 54.4% win rate for white (1.8K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Semi-Slav Defense: Noteboom Variation, Anti-Noteboom Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (53.8%) outperforms Rapid (53.4%) by 0.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Semi-Slav Defense: Noteboom Variation, Anti-Noteboom Gambit?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Noteboom Variation, Anti-Noteboom Gambit has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Noteboom Variation, Anti-Noteboom Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Noteboom Variation, Anti-Noteboom Gambit has a 57.1% (90% CI: 51.7%-62.3%) win rate for white, based on 236 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Noteboom Variation, Anti-Noteboom Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Noteboom Variation, Anti-Noteboom Gambit has a 52.1% (90% CI: 48.0%-56.3%) win rate for white, based on 387 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Noteboom Variation, Anti-Noteboom Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Noteboom Variation, Anti-Noteboom Gambit has a 51.2% (90% CI: 48.4%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 851 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Noteboom Variation, Anti-Noteboom Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Noteboom Variation, Anti-Noteboom Gambit has a 54.4% (90% CI: 52.5%-56.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Noteboom Variation, Anti-Noteboom Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Noteboom Variation, Anti-Noteboom Gambit has a 52.4% (90% CI: 51.0%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 3.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Noteboom Variation, Anti-Noteboom Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Noteboom Variation, Anti-Noteboom Gambit has a 53.0% (90% CI: 51.8%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 5.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Noteboom Variation, Anti-Noteboom Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Noteboom Variation, Anti-Noteboom Gambit has a 53.3% (90% CI: 52.1%-54.5%) win rate for white, based on 4.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Noteboom Variation, Anti-Noteboom Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Noteboom Variation, Anti-Noteboom Gambit has a 53.4% (90% CI: 51.2%-55.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Noteboom Variation, Anti-Noteboom Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Noteboom Variation, Anti-Noteboom Gambit has a 53.8% (90% CI: 52.9%-54.7%) win rate for white (8.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Noteboom Variation, Anti-Noteboom Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Noteboom Variation, Anti-Noteboom Gambit has a 52.3% (90% CI: 51.5%-53.2%) win rate for white (9.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Noteboom Variation, Anti-Noteboom Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Noteboom Variation, Anti-Noteboom Gambit has a 53.4% (90% CI: 50.7%-56.0%) win rate for white (949 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

Is the Semi-Slav Defense: Noteboom Variation, Anti-Noteboom Gambit a good opening?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Noteboom Variation, Anti-Noteboom Gambit is statistically favors white with a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.4%-53.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.