Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation

2.1K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.8%Range (90% confident): 49.1% – 52.6%Based on 2.1K games
0%50.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.1% – 52.6%
Outcome Distribution
43.9%13.8%42.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
11...Nd5
Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation
Analyzen=2.1K
Avg Length44 moves
Sharpness86%
Draw Rate13.8%

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation has a 50.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.1% and 52.6%), based on 2.1K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 60% → 38%

1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1200-1399: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1400-1599: 11.1% win rate (3 games)
  • 1600-1799: 55.6% win rate (12 games)
  • 1800-1999: 43.6% win rate (80 games)
  • 2000-2199: 43.5% win rate (349 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.8% win rate (1,131 games)
  • 2500+: 38.0% win rate (550 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (46%), worst in Classical (22%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 42.9% win rate (506 games)
  • Blitz: 45.5% win rate (1,414 games)
  • Rapid: 37.6% win rate (178 games)
  • Classical: 22.0% win rate (28 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 64.3% expected score (16 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 42.9% expected score (55 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (55 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.1% expected score (256 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.5% expected score (31 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 61.8% expected score (7 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (166 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (879 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 53.2% expected score (78 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (266 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.4% expected score (216 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (59 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (9 games)

Related Openings

Analyze Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation win rate?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation has a 43.9% (90% CI: 42.1%-45.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation perform best?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 46.8% win rate for white (1.1K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (45.5%) outperforms Rapid (37.6%) by 7.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation has a sharpness score of 86.2 (moderately decisive), meaning 86.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 44 moves.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation has a 43.5% (90% CI: 39.2%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 349 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 8.4% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation has a 46.8% (90% CI: 44.3%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 8.0% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation has a 38.0% (90% CI: 34.6%-41.4%) win rate for white, based on 550 Lichess games. Average game length is 55 moves with a 30.4% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation has a 42.9% (90% CI: 39.3%-46.5%) win rate for white (506 Lichess games). Draw rate is 16.7%.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation has a 45.5% (90% CI: 43.3%-47.6%) win rate for white (1.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.4%.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation has a 37.6% (90% CI: 31.8%-43.6%) win rate for white (178 Lichess games). Draw rate is 27.6%.

Is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation a good opening?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Wade Variation, Larsen Variation is statistically balanced with a 43.9% (90% CI: 42.1%-45.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.