TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Reynolds' Variation

2.2K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Play This
White Expected Score56.3%Range (90% confident): 54.5% – 58.0%Based on 2.2K games
0%56.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 54.5% – 58.0%
Outcome Distribution
51.1%10.3%38.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
10.d5
Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Reynolds' Variation
Analyzen=2.2K
Avg Length42 moves
Sharpness90%
Draw Rate10.3%

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Reynolds' Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Reynolds' Variation has a 56.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.5% and 58.0%), based on 2.2K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 20% → 37%

1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1000-1199: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1200-1399: 55.6% win rate (3 games)
  • 1400-1599: 9.1% win rate (4 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.9% win rate (24 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.2% win rate (149 games)
  • 2000-2199: 54.6% win rate (553 games)
  • 2200-2499: 54.4% win rate (1,092 games)
  • 2500+: 37.1% win rate (361 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (52%), worst in Rapid (44%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 51.7% win rate (481 games)
  • Blitz: 51.7% win rate (1,478 games)
  • Rapid: 43.9% win rate (191 games)
  • Classical: 50.6% win rate (37 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199————
1200-1399———
1400-1599——
1600-1799——
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (14 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 37.2% expected score (18 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (101 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 65.7% expected score (24 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 66.8% expected score (88 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 56.7% expected score (414 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (41 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 54.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 63.2% expected score (215 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 57.0% expected score (792 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (70 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 62.1% expected score (15 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 45.9% expected score (156 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.8% expected score (155 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 52.2% expected score (45 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Semi-Slav Defense
51.5%
Variations (5)
Semi-Slav Defense: Accelerated Meran Variation
50.4%
Semi-Slav Defense: Accelerated Move Order
50.8%
Semi-Slav Defense: Anti-Moscow Gambit
48.2%
Semi-Slav Defense: Anti-Noteboom, Stonewall Variation, Portisch Gambit
54.1%
Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubov Variation
51.5%
Analyze Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Reynolds' Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Reynolds' Variation win rate?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Reynolds' Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 49.3%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Reynolds' Variation perform best?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Reynolds' Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 54.4% win rate for white (1.1K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Reynolds' Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (51.7%) outperforms Rapid (43.9%) by 7.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Reynolds' Variation?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Reynolds' Variation has a sharpness score of 89.7 (moderately decisive), meaning 89.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 42 moves.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Reynolds' Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Reynolds' Variation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 41.5%-54.9%) win rate for white, based on 149 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Reynolds' Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Reynolds' Variation has a 54.6% (90% CI: 51.1%-58.0%) win rate for white, based on 553 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.4% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Reynolds' Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Reynolds' Variation has a 54.4% (90% CI: 51.9%-56.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 7.3% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Reynolds' Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Reynolds' Variation has a 37.1% (90% CI: 33.0%-41.3%) win rate for white, based on 361 Lichess games. Average game length is 53 moves with a 28.0% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Reynolds' Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Reynolds' Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 48.0%-55.4%) win rate for white (481 Lichess games). Draw rate is 11.3%.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Reynolds' Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Reynolds' Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 49.6%-53.9%) win rate for white (1.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.8%.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Reynolds' Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Reynolds' Variation has a 43.9% (90% CI: 38.1%-49.8%) win rate for white (191 Lichess games). Draw rate is 18.4%.

Is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Reynolds' Variation a good opening?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Reynolds' Variation is statistically favors white with a 51.1% (90% CI: 49.3%-52.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.