What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Main Line expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Semi-Slav Defense: Main Line has a 54.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.9% and 54.1%), based on 1.3M Lichess games.
1.3M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Semi-Slav Defense: Main Line has a 54.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.9% and 54.1%), based on 1.3M Lichess games.
Improves with rating: 52% → 54%
Best in UltraBullet (57%), worst in Blitz (51%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Semi-Slav Defense: Main Line has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.7%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.3M rated games from Lichess.
The Semi-Slav Defense: Main Line performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 54.1% win rate for white (140K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
UltraBullet (56.9%) outperforms Blitz (51.2%) by 5.7%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Semi-Slav Defense: Main Line has a sharpness score of 95.7 (very decisive), meaning 95.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Main Line has a 52.2% (90% CI: 51.4%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Main Line has a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.5%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 33K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Main Line has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.8%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 77K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Main Line has a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.4%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 145K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Main Line has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 258K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Main Line has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 353K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Main Line has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.8%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 279K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Main Line has a 54.1% (90% CI: 53.9%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 140K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Main Line has a 54.2% (90% CI: 53.6%-54.8%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 9.2% draw rate.
In UltraBullet games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Main Line has a 56.9% (90% CI: 55.0%-58.8%) win rate for white (1.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.4%.
In Bullet games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Main Line has a 52.5% (90% CI: 52.3%-52.6%) win rate for white (574K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.
In Blitz games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Main Line has a 51.2% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.4%) win rate for white (615K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.
In Rapid games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Main Line has a 51.5% (90% CI: 51.2%-51.7%) win rate for white (120K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.2%.
In Classical games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Main Line has a 52.3% (90% CI: 51.2%-53.5%) win rate for white (5.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.8%.
The Semi-Slav Defense: Main Line is statistically favors white with a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.7%-51.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.