What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Chigorin Defense expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Semi-Slav Defense: Chigorin Defense has a 53.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.7% and 53.2%), based on 133K Lichess games.
133K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Semi-Slav Defense: Chigorin Defense has a 53.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.7% and 53.2%), based on 133K Lichess games.
Declines with rating: 49% → 37%
Best in Bullet (49%), worst in Classical (42%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | ||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Semi-Slav Defense: Chigorin Defense has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.3%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 133K rated games from Lichess.
The Semi-Slav Defense: Chigorin Defense performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 51.8% win rate for white (29K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (49.1%) outperforms Classical (41.6%) by 7.5%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Semi-Slav Defense: Chigorin Defense has a sharpness score of 91.3 (decisive), meaning 91.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Chigorin Defense has a 48.9% (90% CI: 44.6%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 353 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 0.7% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Chigorin Defense has a 49.8% (90% CI: 47.2%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Chigorin Defense has a 49.4% (90% CI: 47.8%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Chigorin Defense has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.1%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 5.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Chigorin Defense has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.3%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Chigorin Defense has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 30K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Chigorin Defense has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 36K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Chigorin Defense has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.3%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 29K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.1% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Chigorin Defense has a 36.7% (90% CI: 36.0%-37.3%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 53 moves with a 38.5% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Chigorin Defense has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.5%) win rate for white (43K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.1%.
In Blitz games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Chigorin Defense has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.3%-48.9%) win rate for white (75K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.4%.
In Rapid games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Chigorin Defense has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.4%-47.8%) win rate for white (13K Lichess games). Draw rate is 11.3%.
In Classical games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Chigorin Defense has a 41.6% (90% CI: 38.9%-44.3%) win rate for white (894 Lichess games). Draw rate is 23.5%.
The Semi-Slav Defense: Chigorin Defense is statistically favors white with a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.3%-48.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.