What is the Russian Game: Three Knights Game expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Russian Game: Three Knights Game has a 52.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.0% and 52.1%), based on 3.2M Lichess games.
3.2M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Russian Game: Three Knights Game has a 52.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.0% and 52.1%), based on 3.2M Lichess games.
Stable across ratings (~51%)
Best in Classical (53%), worst in Bullet (50%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Russian Game: Three Knights Game has a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 3.2M rated games from Lichess.
The Russian Game: Three Knights Game performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 51.2% win rate for white (471K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Classical (53.1%) outperforms UltraBullet (50.4%) by 2.7%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Russian Game: Three Knights Game has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Russian Game: Three Knights Game has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.7%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 369K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Russian Game: Three Knights Game has a 51.2% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 471K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Russian Game: Three Knights Game has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.5%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 583K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Russian Game: Three Knights Game has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 636K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Russian Game: Three Knights Game has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.6%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 551K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Russian Game: Three Knights Game has a 49.3% (90% CI: 49.2%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 357K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Russian Game: Three Knights Game has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 151K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Russian Game: Three Knights Game has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.4%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 52K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Russian Game: Three Knights Game has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.4%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 7.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.9% draw rate.
In UltraBullet games, the Russian Game: Three Knights Game has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.4%-51.5%) win rate for white (6.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.8%.
In Bullet games, the Russian Game: Three Knights Game has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.5%-49.7%) win rate for white (822K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.
In Blitz games, the Russian Game: Three Knights Game has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.0%) win rate for white (1.6M Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.
In Rapid games, the Russian Game: Three Knights Game has a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.2%-51.4%) win rate for white (679K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.
In Classical games, the Russian Game: Three Knights Game has a 53.1% (90% CI: 52.6%-53.6%) win rate for white (28K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.
The Russian Game: Three Knights Game is statistically favors white with a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.