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Analyzer

Russian Game: Paulsen Attack

52K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score49.3%Range (90% confident): 48.9% – 49.7%Based on 52K games
0%49.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.9% – 49.7%
Outcome Distribution
46.9%4.7%48.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
No position data
Russian Game: Paulsen Attack
n=52K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.7%

What is the Russian Game: Paulsen Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Russian Game: Paulsen Attack has a 49.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 48.9% and 49.7%), based on 52K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 45% → 52%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.3% win rate (6,107 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.4% win rate (5,734 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.8% win rate (6,356 games)
  • 1400-1599: 45.7% win rate (7,682 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.8% win rate (8,548 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.9% win rate (8,795 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.1% win rate (5,275 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.2% win rate (2,837 games)
  • 2500+: 52.2% win rate (599 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (48%), worst in UltraBullet (36%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 35.5% win rate (14 games)
  • Bullet: 46.1% win rate (10,268 games)
  • Blitz: 47.5% win rate (28,785 games)
  • Rapid: 46.4% win rate (12,203 games)
  • Classical: 43.4% win rate (663 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 44.8% expected score (982 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (2,973 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (2,125 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 46.1% expected score (24 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 44.0% expected score (1,096 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (2,877 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (1,690 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 55.1% expected score (67 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 45.8% expected score (1,379 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (3,204 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (1,667 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 49.1% expected score (104 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (1,543 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (3,972 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 46.8% expected score (1,994 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 39.8% expected score (170 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (1,694 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (4,868 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (1,814 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 49.5% expected score (172 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (1,369 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (5,618 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (1,713 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 48.5% expected score (94 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (1,016 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (3,264 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (971 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 52.0% expected score (24 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (871 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (1,738 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.7% expected score (220 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (7 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (318 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 61.6% expected score (271 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (9 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Russian Game
48.9%
Variations (5)
Russian Game: Classical Attack
50.6%
Russian Game: Classical Attack, Berger Variation
45.9%
Russian Game: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation
44.5%
Russian Game: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Browne Attack
47.4%
Russian Game: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line
44.6%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Russian Game: Paulsen Attack win rate?

The Russian Game: Paulsen Attack has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.6%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 52K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Russian Game: Paulsen Attack perform best?

The Russian Game: Paulsen Attack performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 52.2% win rate for white (599 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Russian Game: Paulsen Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (47.5%) outperforms Classical (43.4%) by 4.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Russian Game: Paulsen Attack?

The Russian Game: Paulsen Attack has a sharpness score of 95.3 (very decisive), meaning 95.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Russian Game: Paulsen Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Russian Game: Paulsen Attack has a 45.3% (90% CI: 44.3%-46.4%) win rate for white, based on 6.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Paulsen Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Russian Game: Paulsen Attack has a 46.4% (90% CI: 45.3%-47.5%) win rate for white, based on 5.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Paulsen Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Russian Game: Paulsen Attack has a 46.8% (90% CI: 45.7%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 6.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Paulsen Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Russian Game: Paulsen Attack has a 45.7% (90% CI: 44.7%-46.6%) win rate for white, based on 7.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Paulsen Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Russian Game: Paulsen Attack has a 46.8% (90% CI: 45.9%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 8.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Paulsen Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Russian Game: Paulsen Attack has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.0%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 8.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Paulsen Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Russian Game: Paulsen Attack has a 48.1% (90% CI: 46.9%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 5.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Paulsen Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Russian Game: Paulsen Attack has a 49.2% (90% CI: 47.7%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 8.4% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Paulsen Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Russian Game: Paulsen Attack has a 52.2% (90% CI: 48.9%-55.6%) win rate for white, based on 599 Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 8.9% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Paulsen Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Russian Game: Paulsen Attack has a 46.1% (90% CI: 45.3%-46.9%) win rate for white (10K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the Russian Game: Paulsen Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Russian Game: Paulsen Attack has a 47.5% (90% CI: 47.0%-48.0%) win rate for white (29K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the Russian Game: Paulsen Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Russian Game: Paulsen Attack has a 46.4% (90% CI: 45.7%-47.2%) win rate for white (12K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

What is the Russian Game: Paulsen Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Russian Game: Paulsen Attack has a 43.4% (90% CI: 40.3%-46.6%) win rate for white (663 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.8%.

Is the Russian Game: Paulsen Attack a good opening?

The Russian Game: Paulsen Attack is statistically balanced with a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.6%-47.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.