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Analyzer

Russian Game: Modern Attack, Murrey Variation

3.0K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score49.3%Range (90% confident): 47.8% – 50.8%Based on 3.0K games
0%49.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.8% – 50.8%
Outcome Distribution
43.9%10.8%45.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
No position data
Russian Game: Modern Attack, Murrey Variation
n=3.0K
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness89%
Draw Rate10.8%

What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Murrey Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Murrey Variation has a 49.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 47.8% and 50.8%), based on 3.0K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 56% → 44%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 56.0% win rate (44 games)
  • 1000-1199: 67.6% win rate (17 games)
  • 1200-1399: 53.2% win rate (22 games)
  • 1400-1599: 61.9% win rate (30 games)
  • 1600-1799: 56.0% win rate (44 games)
  • 1800-1999: 40.6% win rate (160 games)
  • 2000-2199: 40.7% win rate (558 games)
  • 2200-2499: 43.7% win rate (1,467 games)
  • 2500+: 44.2% win rate (701 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (57%), worst in Rapid (39%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 56.5% win rate (10 games)
  • Bullet: 43.3% win rate (785 games)
  • Blitz: 44.5% win rate (2,019 games)
  • Rapid: 38.9% win rate (203 games)
  • Classical: 45.5% win rate (26 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399——
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 45.4% expected score (20 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 67.3% expected score (13 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 81.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 67.8% expected score (21 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 67.2% expected score (16 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 60.7% expected score (22 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 27.8% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 32.2% expected score (35 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (97 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 34.6% expected score (18 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 44.7% expected score (8 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 44.1% expected score (116 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 45.5% expected score (383 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 44.2% expected score (50 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 45.2% expected score (9 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (245 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (1,110 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (103 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 71.1% expected score (8 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 44.2% expected score (309 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.6% expected score (381 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (11 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Russian Game
48.9%
Variations (5)
Russian Game: Classical Attack
50.6%
Russian Game: Classical Attack, Berger Variation
45.9%
Russian Game: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation
44.5%
Russian Game: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Browne Attack
47.4%
Russian Game: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line
44.6%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Murrey Variation win rate?

The Russian Game: Modern Attack, Murrey Variation has a 43.9% (90% CI: 42.4%-45.4%) win rate for white, based on 3.0K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Murrey Variation perform best?

The Russian Game: Modern Attack, Murrey Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 43.7% win rate for white (1.5K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Murrey Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (44.5%) outperforms Rapid (38.9%) by 5.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Murrey Variation?

The Russian Game: Modern Attack, Murrey Variation has a sharpness score of 89.2 (moderately decisive), meaning 89.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Murrey Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Murrey Variation has a 40.6% (90% CI: 34.3%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 160 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 7.7% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Murrey Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Murrey Variation has a 40.7% (90% CI: 37.3%-44.1%) win rate for white, based on 558 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 8.7% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Murrey Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Murrey Variation has a 43.7% (90% CI: 41.6%-45.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 10.7% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Murrey Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Murrey Variation has a 44.2% (90% CI: 41.1%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 701 Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 14.7% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Murrey Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Murrey Variation has a 43.3% (90% CI: 40.4%-46.2%) win rate for white (785 Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.3%.

What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Murrey Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Murrey Variation has a 44.5% (90% CI: 42.7%-46.3%) win rate for white (2.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.9%.

What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Murrey Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Murrey Variation has a 38.9% (90% CI: 33.3%-44.5%) win rate for white (203 Lichess games). Draw rate is 15.4%.

Is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Murrey Variation a good opening?

The Russian Game: Modern Attack, Murrey Variation is slightly favors black with a 43.9% (90% CI: 42.4%-45.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.