TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Variation

63K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Play This
White Expected Score56.0%Range (90% confident): 55.6% – 56.3%Based on 63K games
0%56.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 55.6% – 56.3%
Outcome Distribution
52.7%6.6%40.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
No position data
Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Variation
n=63K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness93%
Draw Rate6.6%

What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Variation has a 56.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 55.6% and 56.3%), based on 63K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 57% → 47%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 57.2% win rate (1,085 games)
  • 1000-1199: 58.4% win rate (1,417 games)
  • 1200-1399: 59.6% win rate (2,118 games)
  • 1400-1599: 55.6% win rate (3,919 games)
  • 1600-1799: 53.9% win rate (8,182 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.8% win rate (13,118 games)
  • 2000-2199: 52.3% win rate (15,645 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.7% win rate (13,443 games)
  • 2500+: 47.4% win rate (3,618 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~53%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 50.8% win rate (94 games)
  • Bullet: 52.4% win rate (18,553 games)
  • Blitz: 52.8% win rate (36,105 games)
  • Rapid: 52.9% win rate (7,297 games)
  • Classical: 53.0% win rate (496 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 58.7% expected score (331 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 59.9% expected score (502 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 55.7% expected score (246 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 58.0% expected score (529 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 58.1% expected score (590 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 63.0% expected score (288 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 92.9% expected score (9 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 61.0% expected score (786 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 60.2% expected score (975 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 61.3% expected score (332 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 64.7% expected score (19 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (30 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (1,471 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 56.8% expected score (1,853 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 61.5% expected score (529 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 68.7% expected score (36 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 48.4% expected score (29 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.7% expected score (2,581 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.6% expected score (4,490 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 57.4% expected score (1,001 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 68.8% expected score (81 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (3,204 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (7,986 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 56.2% expected score (1,742 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 51.4% expected score (177 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (3,479 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 56.3% expected score (10,006 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.0% expected score (2,025 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 59.2% expected score (129 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 29.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.3% expected score (4,263 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.4% expected score (8,115 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.8% expected score (1,021 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 54.0% expected score (36 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.8% expected score (1,909 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (1,588 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 56.6% expected score (113 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (7 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Russian Game
48.9%
Variations (5)
Russian Game: Classical Attack
50.6%
Russian Game: Classical Attack, Berger Variation
45.9%
Russian Game: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation
44.5%
Russian Game: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Browne Attack
47.4%
Russian Game: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line
44.6%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Variation win rate?

The Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.3%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 63K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Variation perform best?

The Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Variation performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 59.6% win rate for white (2.1K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (52.8%) outperforms UltraBullet (50.8%) by 2.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Variation?

The Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Variation has a sharpness score of 93.4 (decisive), meaning 93.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Variation has a 57.2% (90% CI: 54.7%-59.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Variation has a 58.4% (90% CI: 56.2%-60.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Variation has a 59.6% (90% CI: 57.9%-61.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Variation has a 55.6% (90% CI: 54.3%-56.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Variation has a 53.9% (90% CI: 53.0%-54.8%) win rate for white, based on 8.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Variation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.1%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 51.6%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 6.7% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.0%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 8.4% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Variation has a 47.4% (90% CI: 46.1%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 3.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 19.6% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Variation has a 52.4% (90% CI: 51.8%-53.0%) win rate for white (19K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Variation has a 52.8% (90% CI: 52.4%-53.2%) win rate for white (36K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.9%.

What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Variation has a 52.9% (90% CI: 51.9%-53.8%) win rate for white (7.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.4%.

What is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Variation has a 53.0% (90% CI: 49.3%-56.6%) win rate for white (496 Lichess games). Draw rate is 12.6%.

Is the Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Variation a good opening?

The Russian Game: Modern Attack, Center Variation is statistically favors white with a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.3%-53.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.