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Analyzer

Russian Game: Karklins-Martinovsky Variation

27K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.7%Range (90% confident): 50.2% – 51.2%Based on 27K games
0%50.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.2% – 51.2%
Outcome Distribution
47.9%5.6%46.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
No position data
Russian Game: Karklins-Martinovsky Variation
n=27K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.6%

What is the Russian Game: Karklins-Martinovsky Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Russian Game: Karklins-Martinovsky Variation has a 50.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.2% and 51.2%), based on 27K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 48% → 55%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.6% win rate (2,335 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.8% win rate (3,535 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.9% win rate (4,543 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.0% win rate (4,697 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.5% win rate (3,969 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.2% win rate (3,229 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.3% win rate (2,497 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.5% win rate (1,559 games)
  • 2500+: 54.5% win rate (522 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (49%), worst in UltraBullet (26%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 25.5% win rate (24 games)
  • Bullet: 48.9% win rate (6,085 games)
  • Blitz: 48.0% win rate (14,448 games)
  • Rapid: 46.7% win rate (5,968 games)
  • Classical: 47.0% win rate (361 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (582 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (1,090 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 49.9% expected score (653 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 67.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (829 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (1,848 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (822 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (33 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (898 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (2,481 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (1,103 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 46.5% expected score (56 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 20.6% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (909 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (2,246 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.7% expected score (1,427 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 48.6% expected score (108 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 13.7% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (849 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (2,109 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.5% expected score (920 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 44.9% expected score (87 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (620 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (1,993 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (572 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 55.6% expected score (43 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 56.2% expected score (574 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (1,593 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (307 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 56.7% expected score (21 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (495 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (899 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 59.0% expected score (160 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 62.1% expected score (329 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.9% expected score (189 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Russian Game
48.9%
Variations (5)
Russian Game: Classical Attack
50.6%
Russian Game: Classical Attack, Berger Variation
45.9%
Russian Game: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation
44.5%
Russian Game: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Browne Attack
47.4%
Russian Game: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line
44.6%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Russian Game: Karklins-Martinovsky Variation win rate?

The Russian Game: Karklins-Martinovsky Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 27K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Russian Game: Karklins-Martinovsky Variation perform best?

The Russian Game: Karklins-Martinovsky Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 54.5% win rate for white (522 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Russian Game: Karklins-Martinovsky Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (48.9%) outperforms Classical (47.0%) by 1.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Russian Game: Karklins-Martinovsky Variation?

The Russian Game: Karklins-Martinovsky Variation has a sharpness score of 94.4 (decisive), meaning 94.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Russian Game: Karklins-Martinovsky Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Russian Game: Karklins-Martinovsky Variation has a 47.6% (90% CI: 45.9%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Karklins-Martinovsky Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Russian Game: Karklins-Martinovsky Variation has a 46.8% (90% CI: 45.4%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 3.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Karklins-Martinovsky Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Russian Game: Karklins-Martinovsky Variation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 45.7%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 4.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Karklins-Martinovsky Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Russian Game: Karklins-Martinovsky Variation has a 47.0% (90% CI: 45.8%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 4.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Karklins-Martinovsky Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Russian Game: Karklins-Martinovsky Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 46.2%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 4.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Karklins-Martinovsky Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Russian Game: Karklins-Martinovsky Variation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 46.8%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 3.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.4% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Karklins-Martinovsky Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Russian Game: Karklins-Martinovsky Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 48.6%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 8.1% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Karklins-Martinovsky Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Russian Game: Karklins-Martinovsky Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 48.4%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 8.7% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Karklins-Martinovsky Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Russian Game: Karklins-Martinovsky Variation has a 54.5% (90% CI: 51.0%-58.1%) win rate for white, based on 522 Lichess games. Average game length is 48 moves with a 11.9% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Karklins-Martinovsky Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Russian Game: Karklins-Martinovsky Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 47.8%-49.9%) win rate for white (6.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the Russian Game: Karklins-Martinovsky Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Russian Game: Karklins-Martinovsky Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.3%-48.7%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.0%.

What is the Russian Game: Karklins-Martinovsky Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Russian Game: Karklins-Martinovsky Variation has a 46.7% (90% CI: 45.7%-47.8%) win rate for white (6.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.

What is the Russian Game: Karklins-Martinovsky Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Russian Game: Karklins-Martinovsky Variation has a 47.0% (90% CI: 42.7%-51.4%) win rate for white (361 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

Is the Russian Game: Karklins-Martinovsky Variation a good opening?

The Russian Game: Karklins-Martinovsky Variation is statistically balanced with a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.