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Analyzer

Russian Game: Classical Attack, Mason-Showalter Variation

12K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.0%Range (90% confident): 50.3% – 51.8%Based on 12K games
0%51.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.3% – 51.8%
Outcome Distribution
47.1%7.8%45.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
No position data
Russian Game: Classical Attack, Mason-Showalter Variation
n=12K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness92%
Draw Rate7.8%

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Mason-Showalter Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Mason-Showalter Variation has a 51.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.3% and 51.8%), based on 12K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 49% → 47%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.3% win rate (36 games)
  • 1000-1199: 53.5% win rate (106 games)
  • 1200-1399: 54.4% win rate (244 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.2% win rate (648 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.6% win rate (1,467 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.5% win rate (2,604 games)
  • 2000-2199: 44.8% win rate (3,327 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.6% win rate (2,856 games)
  • 2500+: 46.7% win rate (559 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (48%), worst in UltraBullet (20%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 48.1% win rate (3,853 games)
  • Blitz: 46.4% win rate (6,342 games)
  • Rapid: 48.0% win rate (1,551 games)
  • Classical: 38.9% win rate (100 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 36.5% expected score (17 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.6% expected score (42 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 63.0% expected score (37 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 59.1% expected score (26 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (96 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (102 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (45 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (261 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 55.2% expected score (297 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 54.2% expected score (82 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (516 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (742 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (191 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (18 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.7% expected score (652 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (1,572 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 56.0% expected score (358 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 47.9% expected score (22 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (831 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (2,011 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (466 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 33.0% expected score (19 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (1,124 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (1,370 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (335 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 53.6% expected score (27 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 61.7% expected score (320 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.4% expected score (194 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 63.3% expected score (40 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Russian Game
48.9%
Variations (5)
Russian Game: Classical Attack
50.6%
Russian Game: Classical Attack, Berger Variation
45.9%
Russian Game: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation
44.5%
Russian Game: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Browne Attack
47.4%
Russian Game: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line
44.6%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Mason-Showalter Variation win rate?

The Russian Game: Classical Attack, Mason-Showalter Variation has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.4%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 12K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Mason-Showalter Variation perform best?

The Russian Game: Classical Attack, Mason-Showalter Variation performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 54.4% win rate for white (244 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Mason-Showalter Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (48.1%) outperforms Classical (38.9%) by 9.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Mason-Showalter Variation?

The Russian Game: Classical Attack, Mason-Showalter Variation has a sharpness score of 92.2 (decisive), meaning 92.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Mason-Showalter Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Mason-Showalter Variation has a 53.5% (90% CI: 45.6%-61.3%) win rate for white, based on 106 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 9.8% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Mason-Showalter Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Mason-Showalter Variation has a 54.4% (90% CI: 49.1%-59.6%) win rate for white, based on 244 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Mason-Showalter Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Mason-Showalter Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 48.0%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 648 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Mason-Showalter Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Mason-Showalter Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 47.5%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Mason-Showalter Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Mason-Showalter Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 47.8%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Mason-Showalter Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Mason-Showalter Variation has a 44.8% (90% CI: 43.4%-46.2%) win rate for white, based on 3.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 7.5% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Mason-Showalter Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Mason-Showalter Variation has a 44.6% (90% CI: 43.0%-46.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 9.1% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Mason-Showalter Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Mason-Showalter Variation has a 46.7% (90% CI: 43.2%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 559 Lichess games. Average game length is 49 moves with a 27.2% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Mason-Showalter Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Mason-Showalter Variation has a 48.1% (90% CI: 46.7%-49.4%) win rate for white (3.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.7%.

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Mason-Showalter Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Mason-Showalter Variation has a 46.4% (90% CI: 45.4%-47.5%) win rate for white (6.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.7%.

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Mason-Showalter Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Mason-Showalter Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 45.9%-50.1%) win rate for white (1.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.0%.

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Mason-Showalter Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Mason-Showalter Variation has a 38.9% (90% CI: 31.1%-47.0%) win rate for white (100 Lichess games). Draw rate is 18.2%.

Is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Mason-Showalter Variation a good opening?

The Russian Game: Classical Attack, Mason-Showalter Variation is statistically balanced with a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.4%-47.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.