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Analyzer

Russian Game: Classical Attack, Marshall Variation

39K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score49.7%Range (90% confident): 49.3% – 50.1%Based on 39K games
0%49.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.3% – 50.1%
Outcome Distribution
46.4%6.5%47.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
No position data
Russian Game: Classical Attack, Marshall Variation
n=39K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.5%

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Marshall Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Marshall Variation has a 49.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.3% and 50.1%), based on 39K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 32% → 48%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 32.0% win rate (47 games)
  • 1000-1199: 45.8% win rate (137 games)
  • 1200-1399: 45.0% win rate (500 games)
  • 1400-1599: 44.4% win rate (1,869 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.9% win rate (5,972 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.0% win rate (12,556 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.2% win rate (11,825 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.8% win rate (5,508 games)
  • 2500+: 48.0% win rate (777 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (47%), worst in Classical (43%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 42.9% win rate (2 games)
  • Bullet: 47.0% win rate (10,587 games)
  • Blitz: 46.3% win rate (23,204 games)
  • Rapid: 46.0% win rate (4,989 games)
  • Classical: 42.5% win rate (409 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 36.0% expected score (27 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 41.4% expected score (16 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 40.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 38.5% expected score (68 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.3% expected score (57 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (12 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 45.8% expected score (246 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 44.8% expected score (210 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 58.1% expected score (42 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 45.4% expected score (811 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (849 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 45.1% expected score (193 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 32.9% expected score (16 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (1,753 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.7% expected score (3,532 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.1% expected score (578 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 52.3% expected score (107 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (2,719 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (8,103 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (1,551 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 49.5% expected score (183 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (2,653 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (7,188 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (1,898 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 55.1% expected score (86 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (1,804 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (3,002 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (687 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 37.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (506 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 54.9% expected score (247 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 53.9% expected score (24 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Russian Game
48.9%
Variations (5)
Russian Game: Classical Attack
50.6%
Russian Game: Classical Attack, Berger Variation
45.9%
Russian Game: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation
44.5%
Russian Game: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Browne Attack
47.4%
Russian Game: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line
44.6%
Continuations (1)
Russian Game: Classical Attack, Marshall Variation, Chinese Gambit
52.2%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Marshall Variation win rate?

The Russian Game: Classical Attack, Marshall Variation has a 46.4% (90% CI: 46.0%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 39K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Marshall Variation perform best?

The Russian Game: Classical Attack, Marshall Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 47.8% win rate for white (5.5K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Marshall Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (47.0%) outperforms Classical (42.5%) by 4.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Marshall Variation?

The Russian Game: Classical Attack, Marshall Variation has a sharpness score of 93.5 (decisive), meaning 93.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Marshall Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Marshall Variation has a 45.8% (90% CI: 38.9%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 137 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 1.1% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Marshall Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Marshall Variation has a 45.0% (90% CI: 41.3%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 500 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Marshall Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Marshall Variation has a 44.4% (90% CI: 42.5%-46.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Marshall Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Marshall Variation has a 44.9% (90% CI: 43.8%-46.0%) win rate for white, based on 6.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Marshall Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Marshall Variation has a 46.0% (90% CI: 45.3%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Marshall Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Marshall Variation has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.5%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 7.3% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Marshall Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Marshall Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 46.7%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 5.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 8.9% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Marshall Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Marshall Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 45.0%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 777 Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 11.1% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Marshall Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Marshall Variation has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.2%-47.8%) win rate for white (11K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Marshall Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Marshall Variation has a 46.3% (90% CI: 45.7%-46.8%) win rate for white (23K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.7%.

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Marshall Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Marshall Variation has a 46.0% (90% CI: 44.9%-47.2%) win rate for white (5.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.6%.

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Marshall Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Marshall Variation has a 42.5% (90% CI: 38.5%-46.5%) win rate for white (409 Lichess games). Draw rate is 15.7%.

Is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Marshall Variation a good opening?

The Russian Game: Classical Attack, Marshall Variation is statistically balanced with a 46.4% (90% CI: 46.0%-46.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.