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Analyzer

Russian Game: Classical Attack, Closed Variation

21K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.8%Range (90% confident): 53.2% – 54.3%Based on 21K games
0%53.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.2% – 54.3%
Outcome Distribution
51.6%4.4%44.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
No position data
Russian Game: Classical Attack, Closed Variation
n=21K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.4%

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Closed Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Closed Variation has a 53.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.2% and 54.3%), based on 21K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 46% → 53%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.3% win rate (524 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.3% win rate (1,242 games)
  • 1200-1399: 52.5% win rate (2,457 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.7% win rate (3,459 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.4% win rate (4,155 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.8% win rate (4,136 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.3% win rate (2,952 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.4% win rate (1,955 games)
  • 2500+: 53.1% win rate (515 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (57%), worst in Bullet (51%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 55.0% win rate (283 games)
  • Bullet: 51.2% win rate (11,504 games)
  • Blitz: 51.5% win rate (7,850 games)
  • Rapid: 53.4% win rate (1,689 games)
  • Classical: 57.4% win rate (69 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 46.0% expected score (249 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (219 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 57.4% expected score (53 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (620 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (516 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 59.7% expected score (102 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 58.8% expected score (27 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (1,182 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 55.5% expected score (1,013 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 56.6% expected score (228 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 48.4% expected score (60 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (1,563 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (1,472 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (347 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 71.7% expected score (17 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 53.8% expected score (104 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (1,740 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (1,846 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 55.1% expected score (437 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 56.8% expected score (28 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 61.1% expected score (57 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (2,132 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.2% expected score (1,592 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 58.2% expected score (340 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 62.1% expected score (15 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 72.0% expected score (19 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (1,947 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (837 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 56.7% expected score (149 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 41.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (1,613 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (303 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 63.6% expected score (28 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.1% expected score (458 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (52 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 42.4% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Russian Game
48.9%
Variations (5)
Russian Game: Classical Attack
50.6%
Russian Game: Classical Attack, Berger Variation
45.9%
Russian Game: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation
44.5%
Russian Game: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Browne Attack
47.4%
Russian Game: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line
44.6%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Closed Variation win rate?

The Russian Game: Classical Attack, Closed Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.0%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 21K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Closed Variation perform best?

The Russian Game: Classical Attack, Closed Variation performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 52.8% win rate for white (4.1K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Closed Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (53.4%) outperforms Classical (57.4%) by -4.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Closed Variation?

The Russian Game: Classical Attack, Closed Variation has a sharpness score of 95.6 (very decisive), meaning 95.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Closed Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Closed Variation has a 46.3% (90% CI: 42.8%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 524 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Closed Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Closed Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 48.9%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Closed Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Closed Variation has a 52.5% (90% CI: 50.8%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Closed Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Closed Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 49.3%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 3.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Closed Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Closed Variation has a 52.4% (90% CI: 51.1%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 4.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Closed Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Closed Variation has a 52.8% (90% CI: 51.5%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 4.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Closed Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Closed Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 48.8%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 3.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Closed Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Closed Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 48.5%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Closed Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Closed Variation has a 53.1% (90% CI: 49.5%-56.7%) win rate for white, based on 515 Lichess games. Average game length is 48 moves with a 7.1% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Closed Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Closed Variation has a 55.0% (90% CI: 50.1%-59.8%) win rate for white (283 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.6%.

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Closed Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Closed Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.4%-51.9%) win rate for white (12K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Closed Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Closed Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 50.6%-52.5%) win rate for white (7.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Closed Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Closed Variation has a 53.4% (90% CI: 51.4%-55.4%) win rate for white (1.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

Is the Russian Game: Classical Attack, Closed Variation a good opening?

The Russian Game: Classical Attack, Closed Variation is statistically favors white with a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.0%-52.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.