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Analyzer

Rubinstein Opening: Bogoljubov Defense

729 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score53.8%Range (90% confident): 50.8% – 56.8%Based on 729 games
0%53.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.8% – 56.8%
Outcome Distribution
51.0%5.5%43.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
No position data
Rubinstein Opening: Bogoljubov Defense
n=729
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.5%

What is the Rubinstein Opening: Bogoljubov Defense expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Rubinstein Opening: Bogoljubov Defense has a 53.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.8% and 56.8%), based on 729 Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 43% → 61%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 42.9% win rate (2 games)
  • 1000-1199: 53.8% win rate (5 games)
  • 1200-1399: 42.9% win rate (9 games)
  • 1400-1599: 53.4% win rate (35 games)
  • 1600-1799: 60.6% win rate (67 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.9% win rate (179 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.5% win rate (252 games)
  • 2200-2499: 43.1% win rate (148 games)
  • 2500+: 61.2% win rate (32 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (54%), worst in Rapid (48%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 51.4% win rate (272 games)
  • Blitz: 50.9% win rate (394 games)
  • Rapid: 47.9% win rate (58 games)
  • Classical: 53.8% win rate (5 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999————
1000-1199———
1200-1399——
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 67.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 43.3% expected score (21 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 65.4% expected score (18 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 61.4% expected score (38 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 59.1% expected score (59 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (92 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.1% expected score (24 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (76 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.3% expected score (163 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (13 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 44.2% expected score (76 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (66 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 43.3% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 64.1% expected score (27 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.7% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Rubinstein Opening
52.7%
Variations (3)
Rubinstein Opening: Bogoljubow Defense
54.2%
Rubinstein Opening: Classical Defense
53.1%
Rubinstein Opening: Semi-Slav Defense
56.1%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Rubinstein Opening: Bogoljubov Defense win rate?

The Rubinstein Opening: Bogoljubov Defense has a 51.0% (90% CI: 48.0%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 729 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Rubinstein Opening: Bogoljubov Defense perform best?

The Rubinstein Opening: Bogoljubov Defense performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 60.6% win rate for white (67 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Rubinstein Opening: Bogoljubov Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (50.9%) outperforms Rapid (47.9%) by 3.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Rubinstein Opening: Bogoljubov Defense?

The Rubinstein Opening: Bogoljubov Defense has a sharpness score of 94.5 (decisive), meaning 94.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Rubinstein Opening: Bogoljubov Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Rubinstein Opening: Bogoljubov Defense has a 52.9% (90% CI: 46.8%-59.0%) win rate for white, based on 179 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Rubinstein Opening: Bogoljubov Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Rubinstein Opening: Bogoljubov Defense has a 49.5% (90% CI: 44.4%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 252 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 7.3% draw rate.

What is the Rubinstein Opening: Bogoljubov Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Rubinstein Opening: Bogoljubov Defense has a 43.1% (90% CI: 36.6%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 148 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 7.0% draw rate.

What is the Rubinstein Opening: Bogoljubov Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Rubinstein Opening: Bogoljubov Defense has a 51.4% (90% CI: 46.4%-56.3%) win rate for white (272 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Rubinstein Opening: Bogoljubov Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Rubinstein Opening: Bogoljubov Defense has a 50.9% (90% CI: 46.8%-55.1%) win rate for white (394 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.2%.

Is the Rubinstein Opening: Bogoljubov Defense a good opening?

The Rubinstein Opening: Bogoljubov Defense is statistically balanced with a 51.0% (90% CI: 48.0%-54.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.