What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Krause Variation expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Queen's Pawn Game: Krause Variation has a 51.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.8% and 51.9%), based on 2.4M Lichess games.
2.4M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Queen's Pawn Game: Krause Variation has a 51.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.8% and 51.9%), based on 2.4M Lichess games.
Improves with rating: 48% → 51%
Similar across time controls (~50%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Queen's Pawn Game: Krause Variation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.8%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.4M rated games from Lichess.
The Queen's Pawn Game: Krause Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 50.9% win rate for white (183K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (50.3%) outperforms Classical (47.9%) by 2.4%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Queen's Pawn Game: Krause Variation has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Krause Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.7%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 66K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Krause Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.5%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 139K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Krause Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.5%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 256K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Krause Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.5%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 392K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Krause Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.7%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 495K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Krause Variation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 505K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Krause Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 352K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Krause Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 183K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Krause Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.4%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 28K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 8.1% draw rate.
In UltraBullet games, the Queen's Pawn Game: Krause Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.4%-51.3%) win rate for white (8.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.8%.
In Bullet games, the Queen's Pawn Game: Krause Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.4%) win rate for white (979K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.
In Blitz games, the Queen's Pawn Game: Krause Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.6%-49.7%) win rate for white (1.1M Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.
In Rapid games, the Queen's Pawn Game: Krause Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 49.1%-49.4%) win rate for white (279K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.
In Classical games, the Queen's Pawn Game: Krause Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.1%-48.7%) win rate for white (11K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.8%.
The Queen's Pawn Game: Krause Variation is statistically balanced with a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.8%-49.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.