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Queen's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation

29K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score52.2%Range (90% confident): 51.7% – 52.6%Based on 29K games
0%52.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.7% – 52.6%
Outcome Distribution
48.3%7.6%44.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.a3
Queen's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation
Analyzen=29K
Avg Length39 moves
Sharpness92%
Draw Rate7.6%

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation has a 52.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.7% and 52.6%), based on 29K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 63% → 45%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 63.1% win rate (31 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.5% win rate (170 games)
  • 1200-1399: 53.9% win rate (558 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.2% win rate (1,435 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.3% win rate (2,266 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.9% win rate (4,264 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.3% win rate (7,718 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.8% win rate (9,535 games)
  • 2500+: 45.1% win rate (2,588 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (60%), worst in Classical (44%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 48.5% win rate (4,728 games)
  • Blitz: 48.2% win rate (19,304 games)
  • Rapid: 48.9% win rate (4,239 games)
  • Classical: 43.6% win rate (293 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 62.9% expected score (14 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 65.2% expected score (15 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (34 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 45.2% expected score (112 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 59.8% expected score (24 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 58.6% expected score (104 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (353 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 57.8% expected score (95 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (223 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.1% expected score (833 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (352 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 46.5% expected score (27 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (299 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 56.4% expected score (1,268 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (644 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 42.8% expected score (54 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (509 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (2,662 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (975 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.4% expected score (118 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (980 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (5,553 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.8% expected score (1,119 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.8% expected score (66 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (1,713 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (6,876 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (932 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 56.5% expected score (14 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (852 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 58.2% expected score (1,632 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 68.0% expected score (96 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 55.3% expected score (8 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Indian Defense
47.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Indian Defense: Anti-Queen's Indian System
50.1%
Queen's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation
42.1%
Queen's Indian Defense: Buerger Variation
55.0%
Queen's Indian Defense: Capablanca Variation
49.7%
Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation
51.1%
Continuations (1)
Queen's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation, Farago Defense
46.3%
Analyze Queen's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation win rate?

The Queen's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.8%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 29K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation perform best?

The Queen's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 53.9% win rate for white (558 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (48.2%) outperforms Classical (43.6%) by 4.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation?

The Queen's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation has a sharpness score of 92.4 (decisive), meaning 92.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 41.3%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 170 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 1.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation has a 53.9% (90% CI: 50.4%-57.3%) win rate for white, based on 558 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation has a 47.2% (90% CI: 45.1%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 49.5%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 47.7%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 4.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation has a 47.3% (90% CI: 46.4%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 7.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.0%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 9.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation has a 45.1% (90% CI: 43.5%-46.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 48 moves with a 20.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 47.3%-49.6%) win rate for white (4.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.7%-48.8%) win rate for white (19K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.7%.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 47.7%-50.2%) win rate for white (4.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.5%.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation has a 43.6% (90% CI: 38.9%-48.4%) win rate for white (293 Lichess games). Draw rate is 11.0%.

Is the Queen's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.8%-48.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.