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Queen's Indian Defense: Opocensky Variation

443 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score58.4%Range (90% confident): 54.5% – 62.1%Based on 443 games
0%58.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 54.5% – 62.1%
Outcome Distribution
51.2%14.3%34.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
7.Bd2
Queen's Indian Defense: Opocensky Variation
Analyzen=443
Avg Length49 moves
Sharpness86%
Draw Rate14.3%

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Opocensky Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Indian Defense: Opocensky Variation has a 58.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.5% and 62.1%), based on 443 Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 58% → 51%

1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1400-1599: 57.9% win rate (8 games)
  • 1600-1799: 54.4% win rate (27 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.8% win rate (33 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.2% win rate (84 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.4% win rate (213 games)
  • 2500+: 50.9% win rate (78 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (54%), worst in Bullet (48%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 47.8% win rate (102 games)
  • Blitz: 52.4% win rate (282 games)
  • Rapid: 48.3% win rate (43 games)
  • Classical: 54.3% win rate (16 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199—————
1200-1399—————
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 72.3% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 60.3% expected score (18 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 43.3% expected score (6 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (16 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 59.6% expected score (9 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 41.9% expected score (17 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (50 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 79.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 65.7% expected score (40 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 60.6% expected score (150 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 37.2% expected score (18 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 34.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.6% expected score (29 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 62.9% expected score (45 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 72.3% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Indian Defense
47.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Indian Defense: Anti-Queen's Indian System
50.1%
Queen's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation
42.1%
Queen's Indian Defense: Buerger Variation
55.0%
Queen's Indian Defense: Capablanca Variation
49.7%
Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation
51.1%
Analyze Queen's Indian Defense: Opocensky Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Opocensky Variation win rate?

The Queen's Indian Defense: Opocensky Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 47.3%-55.1%) win rate for white, based on 443 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Indian Defense: Opocensky Variation perform best?

The Queen's Indian Defense: Opocensky Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 52.4% win rate for white (213 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Indian Defense: Opocensky Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (52.4%) outperforms Bullet (47.8%) by 4.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Indian Defense: Opocensky Variation?

The Queen's Indian Defense: Opocensky Variation has a sharpness score of 85.7 (moderately decisive), meaning 85.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 49 moves.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Opocensky Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Opocensky Variation has a 52.4% (90% CI: 46.8%-58.0%) win rate for white, based on 213 Lichess games. Average game length is 46 moves with a 12.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Opocensky Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Opocensky Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 39.8%-55.9%) win rate for white (102 Lichess games). Draw rate is 18.8%.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Opocensky Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Opocensky Variation has a 52.4% (90% CI: 47.5%-57.2%) win rate for white (282 Lichess games). Draw rate is 13.6%.

Is the Queen's Indian Defense: Opocensky Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Indian Defense: Opocensky Variation is statistically favors white with a 51.2% (90% CI: 47.3%-55.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.