899 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Polovodin Gambit has a 49.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 46.7% and 52.2%), based on 899 Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Stable across ratings (~60%)
Best in Classical (64%), worst in Rapid (38%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | |||
| 1400-1599 | — | — | |||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | — | |||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Polovodin Gambit has a 47.1% (90% CI: 44.4%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 899 rated games from Lichess.
The Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Polovodin Gambit performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 58.3% win rate for white (92 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (49.6%) outperforms Rapid (38.4%) by 11.2%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Polovodin Gambit has a sharpness score of 95.4 (very decisive), meaning 95.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Polovodin Gambit has a 45.0% (90% CI: 37.1%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 104 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Polovodin Gambit has a 38.2% (90% CI: 31.1%-45.4%) win rate for white, based on 123 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Polovodin Gambit has a 48.2% (90% CI: 42.4%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 203 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Polovodin Gambit has a 50.8% (90% CI: 45.9%-55.8%) win rate for white, based on 273 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Polovodin Gambit has a 49.6% (90% CI: 45.0%-54.2%) win rate for white (320 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.
In Blitz games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Polovodin Gambit has a 46.6% (90% CI: 43.0%-50.3%) win rate for white (497 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.9%.
The Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Polovodin Gambit is slightly favors black with a 47.1% (90% CI: 44.4%-49.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.