2.8K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Modern Variation has a 48.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 47.2% and 50.3%), based on 2.8K Lichess games.
Declines with rating: 64% → 37%
Best in Blitz (45%), worst in Rapid (40%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | |||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Modern Variation has a 44.3% (90% CI: 42.8%-45.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.8K rated games from Lichess.
The Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Modern Variation performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 53.3% win rate for white (189 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (45.1%) outperforms Rapid (40.1%) by 5.0%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Modern Variation has a sharpness score of 91.2 (decisive), meaning 91.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 40 moves.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Modern Variation has a 53.3% (90% CI: 47.3%-59.2%) win rate for white, based on 189 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Modern Variation has a 44.9% (90% CI: 40.2%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 305 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 7.0% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Modern Variation has a 44.6% (90% CI: 40.9%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 461 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 9.0% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Modern Variation has a 43.2% (90% CI: 40.0%-46.5%) win rate for white, based on 631 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 8.5% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Modern Variation has a 45.2% (90% CI: 42.3%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 778 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.4% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Modern Variation has a 37.2% (90% CI: 33.1%-41.4%) win rate for white, based on 368 Lichess games. Average game length is 50 moves with a 17.7% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Modern Variation has a 44.5% (90% CI: 41.8%-47.3%) win rate for white (882 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.0%.
In Blitz games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Modern Variation has a 45.1% (90% CI: 43.1%-47.2%) win rate for white (1.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.5%.
In Rapid games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Modern Variation has a 40.1% (90% CI: 35.9%-44.5%) win rate for white (351 Lichess games). Draw rate is 12.3%.
The Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Modern Variation is slightly favors black with a 44.3% (90% CI: 42.8%-45.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.