1.3K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation, Timman's Line has a 54.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.8% and 56.2%), based on 1.3K Lichess games.
Improves with rating: 20% → 52%
Best in Bullet (48%), worst in Classical (20%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1200-1399 | — | — | — | ||
| 1400-1599 | — | — | |||
| 1600-1799 | — | — | |||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | — | |||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation, Timman's Line has a 47.5% (90% CI: 45.3%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K rated games from Lichess.
The Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation, Timman's Line performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 52.1% win rate for white (301 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (47.8%) outperforms Rapid (45.9%) by 1.9%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation, Timman's Line has a sharpness score of 87.1 (moderately decisive), meaning 87.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 43 moves.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation, Timman's Line has a 39.4% (90% CI: 31.9%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 109 Lichess games. Average game length is 51 moves with a 18.6% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation, Timman's Line has a 48.3% (90% CI: 42.5%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 194 Lichess games. Average game length is 50 moves with a 12.5% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation, Timman's Line has a 47.7% (90% CI: 44.5%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 671 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 10.2% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation, Timman's Line has a 52.1% (90% CI: 47.3%-56.8%) win rate for white, based on 301 Lichess games. Average game length is 45 moves with a 16.7% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation, Timman's Line has a 48.4% (90% CI: 43.5%-53.4%) win rate for white (272 Lichess games). Draw rate is 12.6%.
In Blitz games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation, Timman's Line has a 47.8% (90% CI: 45.0%-50.7%) win rate for white (838 Lichess games). Draw rate is 12.2%.
In Rapid games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation, Timman's Line has a 45.9% (90% CI: 40.1%-51.7%) win rate for white (198 Lichess games). Draw rate is 16.3%.
The Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation, Timman's Line is statistically balanced with a 47.5% (90% CI: 45.3%-49.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.