266 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Queen's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation has a 45.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 40.6% and 50.5%), based on 266 Lichess games.
Improves with rating: 14% → 50%
Best in Classical (60%), worst in Blitz (40%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | — | ||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1400-1599 | — | — | — | ||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | — | |||
| 2000-2199 | — | — | |||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | — | ||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Queen's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation has a 42.1% (90% CI: 37.1%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 266 rated games from Lichess.
The Queen's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 50.3% win rate for white (75 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (43.2%) outperforms Blitz (39.6%) by 3.6%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Queen's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation has a sharpness score of 93.1 (decisive), meaning 93.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 42 moves.
In Bullet games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation has a 43.2% (90% CI: 36.3%-50.2%) win rate for white (134 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.
In Blitz games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation has a 39.6% (90% CI: 32.6%-46.8%) win rate for white (126 Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.6%.
The Queen's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation is slightly favors black with a 42.1% (90% CI: 37.1%-47.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.