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Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Fianchetto Variation

5.4K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

53.4%

45%60%
Floor52.3%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 54.5%.

Measured over 5.4K games at this level and clock.

Play Thiswins clearly more often than it loses at this level

A strong choice for White at this level and clock.

Outcomes for White

Draw 4.8 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 5.4K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
5.4K
Best context
54.7% at 1600-1799 Blitz
Worst context
52.2% at 2000-2199 Blitz
Average game length
37 moves
Games that end decisively
95.2%
Draws
4.8%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It holds about the same all the way up, near 48.4%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 65.2% expected score (15 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 59.0% expected score (43 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 57.4% expected score (87 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.9% expected score (16 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (83 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 57.6% expected score (184 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (56 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 56.2% expected score (168 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (366 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.5% expected score (102 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.7% expected score (218 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (604 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.1% expected score (183 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 46.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (183 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (821 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.0% expected score (185 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 56.7% expected score (186 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (573 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (123 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.7% expected score (183 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (495 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 70.6% expected score (35 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 27.8% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (95 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (292 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 40.9% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Old Indian Defense
49.1%
Variations (5)
Old Indian Defense: Czech Variation, with Nc3
48.7%
Old Indian Defense: Czech Variation, with Nf3
48.7%
Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation
45.5%
Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation
52.1%
Old Indian Defense: Normal Variation
47.9%
Analyze Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Fianchetto Variation PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Fianchetto Variation scores 53.4% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 52.3% and 54.5% — from 5.4K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
5.4K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Fianchetto Variation win rate?

Playing the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Fianchetto Variation, White wins 51.0%, draws 4.8% and loses 44.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.4%. It rests on 5.4K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Fianchetto Variation perform best?

The Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Fianchetto Variation performs best for White at 1600-1799, with an Expected Score of 54.3% (1.0K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Fianchetto Variation better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Fianchetto Variation scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 53.2% in Blitz (3.4K games) against 53.9% in Rapid (710 games).

How sharp is the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Fianchetto Variation?

The Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Fianchetto Variation has a sharpness score of 95.2 (very decisive), meaning 95.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 55.9%, draws 3.1% and loses 41.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 57.5%. It rests on 146 Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 53.0%, draws 2.9% and loses 44.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.5%. It rests on 326 Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 52.4%, draws 3.0% and loses 44.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.9%. It rests on 647 Lichess games, which average 33 moves.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 52.3%, draws 3.9% and loses 43.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.3%. It rests on 1.0K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 51.1%, draws 4.6% and loses 44.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.4%. It rests on 1.2K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 50.6%, draws 5.1% and loses 44.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.2%. It rests on 885 Lichess games, which average 39 moves.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 49.0%, draws 6.9% and loses 44.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.5%. It rests on 716 Lichess games, which average 41 moves.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, White wins 45.7%, draws 9.8% and loses 44.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.6%. It rests on 391 Lichess games, which average 44 moves.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Fianchetto Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 52.5%, draws 2.9% and loses 44.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.0%. It rests on 1.2K Lichess games.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Fianchetto Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 50.4%, draws 5.5% and loses 44.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.2%. It rests on 3.4K Lichess games.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Fianchetto Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 51.4%, draws 5.0% and loses 43.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.9%. It rests on 710 Lichess games.

Is the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Fianchetto Variation a good opening?

The Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Fianchetto Variation is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 51.0% of its games and loses 44.2%. It performs best at 1600-1799. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.