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Analyzer

Old Indian Defense: Aged Gibbon Gambit

593 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score49.8%Range (90% confident): 46.4% – 53.1%Based on 593 games
0%49.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.4% – 53.1%
Outcome Distribution
48.0%3.4%48.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.g4
Old Indian Defense: Aged Gibbon Gambit
Analyzen=593
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.4%

What is the Old Indian Defense: Aged Gibbon Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Old Indian Defense: Aged Gibbon Gambit has a 49.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 46.4% and 53.1%), based on 593 Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +4.5% · Breakpoint: 1600-1799

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 10.0% · Bullet best · Blitz worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 33% → 57%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 33.3% win rate (12 games)
  • 1000-1199: 22.6% win rate (14 games)
  • 1200-1399: 13.5% win rate (17 games)
  • 1400-1599: 37.0% win rate (35 games)
  • 1600-1799: 43.3% win rate (62 games)
  • 1800-1999: 55.2% win rate (99 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.8% win rate (148 games)
  • 2200-2499: 53.3% win rate (142 games)
  • 2500+: 57.3% win rate (64 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (50%), worst in Classical (20%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 42.9% win rate (9 games)
  • Bullet: 50.4% win rate (424 games)
  • Blitz: 40.4% win rate (131 games)
  • Rapid: 49.2% win rate (28 games)
  • Classical: 20.0% win rate (1 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 20.6% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 7.1% expected score (9 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (14 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 36.2% expected score (13 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 43.3% expected score (6 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 44.7% expected score (36 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.3% expected score (17 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 58.8% expected score (67 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.4% expected score (26 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.2% expected score (103 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (39 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (128 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 63.8% expected score (13 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 61.0% expected score (62 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 78.6% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Old Indian Defense
49.1%
Variations (5)
Old Indian Defense: Czech Variation, with Nc3
48.7%
Old Indian Defense: Czech Variation, with Nf3
48.7%
Old Indian Defense: Duz-Khotimirsky Variation
48.5%
Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation
50.0%
Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Fianchetto Variation
51.0%
Analyze Old Indian Defense: Aged Gibbon Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Old Indian Defense: Aged Gibbon Gambit win rate?

The Old Indian Defense: Aged Gibbon Gambit has a 48.0% (90% CI: 44.7%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 593 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Old Indian Defense: Aged Gibbon Gambit perform best?

The Old Indian Defense: Aged Gibbon Gambit performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 57.3% win rate for white (64 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Old Indian Defense: Aged Gibbon Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.4%) outperforms Blitz (40.4%) by 10.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Old Indian Defense: Aged Gibbon Gambit?

The Old Indian Defense: Aged Gibbon Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Aged Gibbon Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Old Indian Defense: Aged Gibbon Gambit has a 45.8% (90% CI: 39.2%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 148 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Aged Gibbon Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Old Indian Defense: Aged Gibbon Gambit has a 53.3% (90% CI: 46.5%-60.1%) win rate for white, based on 142 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Aged Gibbon Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Old Indian Defense: Aged Gibbon Gambit has a 50.4% (90% CI: 46.4%-54.4%) win rate for white (424 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Aged Gibbon Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Old Indian Defense: Aged Gibbon Gambit has a 40.4% (90% CI: 33.5%-47.4%) win rate for white (131 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

Is the Old Indian Defense: Aged Gibbon Gambit a good opening?

The Old Indian Defense: Aged Gibbon Gambit is slightly favors black with a 48.0% (90% CI: 44.7%-51.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.