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Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation

72K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.9%Range (90% confident): 54.6% – 55.2%Based on 72K games
0%54.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 54.6% – 55.2%
Outcome Distribution
53.0%3.8%43.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
1...b5
Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation
Analyzen=72K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.8%

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation has a 54.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.6% and 55.2%), based on 72K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 56% → 53%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 55.5% win rate (6,173 games)
  • 1000-1199: 57.3% win rate (5,542 games)
  • 1200-1399: 54.7% win rate (7,503 games)
  • 1400-1599: 54.3% win rate (10,363 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.6% win rate (11,028 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.9% win rate (10,566 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.8% win rate (10,212 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.7% win rate (8,336 games)
  • 2500+: 52.8% win rate (2,240 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (59%), worst in Blitz (52%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 59.1% win rate (795 games)
  • Bullet: 52.9% win rate (38,379 games)
  • Blitz: 51.9% win rate (26,487 games)
  • Rapid: 56.7% win rate (6,012 games)
  • Classical: 57.5% win rate (290 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (21 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 57.7% expected score (1,800 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 57.3% expected score (3,114 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 61.3% expected score (1,217 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 47.8% expected score (21 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 67.8% expected score (38 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 58.4% expected score (1,650 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 57.7% expected score (2,825 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 62.6% expected score (987 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 67.3% expected score (42 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 57.5% expected score (126 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (3,031 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (3,307 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 62.9% expected score (984 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 54.4% expected score (55 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 67.6% expected score (218 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 55.8% expected score (4,754 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (4,193 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 58.5% expected score (1,087 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 63.4% expected score (111 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 54.2% expected score (179 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (5,578 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (4,442 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 59.3% expected score (795 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 58.5% expected score (34 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (138 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.7% expected score (6,282 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (3,634 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (490 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 64.9% expected score (22 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 43.2% expected score (50 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (6,985 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (2,885 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.4% expected score (288 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 77.3% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 48.1% expected score (25 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (6,370 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (1,779 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 51.9% expected score (161 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.9% expected score (1,929 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (308 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Nimzo-Larsen Attack
51.1%
Variations (5)
Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Classical Variation
50.2%
Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Dutch Variation
50.6%
Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation
50.2%
Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Graz Attack
49.4%
Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Indian Variation
49.2%
Analyze Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation win rate?

The Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation has a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.7%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 72K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation perform best?

The Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 57.3% win rate for white (5.5K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (59.1%) outperforms Blitz (51.9%) by 7.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation?

The Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation has a 55.5% (90% CI: 54.5%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 6.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation has a 57.3% (90% CI: 56.2%-58.4%) win rate for white, based on 5.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation has a 54.7% (90% CI: 53.8%-55.7%) win rate for white, based on 7.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation has a 54.3% (90% CI: 53.5%-55.1%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation has a 52.6% (90% CI: 51.8%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.1%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.0%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 49.8%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 8.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation has a 52.8% (90% CI: 51.0%-54.5%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 6.9% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation has a 59.1% (90% CI: 56.2%-61.9%) win rate for white (795 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.6%.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation has a 52.9% (90% CI: 52.5%-53.4%) win rate for white (38K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.4%-52.4%) win rate for white (26K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation has a 56.7% (90% CI: 55.7%-57.8%) win rate for white (6.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.9%.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation has a 57.5% (90% CI: 52.7%-62.2%) win rate for white (290 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.7%.

Is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation a good opening?

The Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation is statistically favors white with a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.7%-53.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.