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Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Pachman Gambit

33K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score46.1%Range (90% confident): 45.6% – 46.5%Based on 33K games
0%46.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 45.6% – 46.5%
Outcome Distribution
44.6%2.9%52.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.f4
Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Pachman Gambit
Analyzen=33K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.9%

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Pachman Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Pachman Gambit has a 46.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 45.6% and 46.5%), based on 33K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: -3.9% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~42%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 42.4% win rate (698 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.3% win rate (1,182 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.7% win rate (2,093 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.2% win rate (3,405 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.2% win rate (5,170 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.6% win rate (7,772 games)
  • 2000-2199: 43.3% win rate (7,193 games)
  • 2200-2499: 41.5% win rate (4,883 games)
  • 2500+: 41.0% win rate (907 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (47%), worst in Classical (39%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 46.5% win rate (223 games)
  • Bullet: 45.0% win rate (24,894 games)
  • Blitz: 43.5% win rate (7,008 games)
  • Rapid: 41.3% win rate (1,134 games)
  • Classical: 38.5% win rate (44 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 43.2% expected score (240 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 42.7% expected score (359 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.5% expected score (98 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (560 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (458 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 40.0% expected score (149 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 48.3% expected score (27 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (1,196 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (708 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 39.1% expected score (154 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 29.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 55.9% expected score (41 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.9% expected score (2,061 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 46.3% expected score (1,107 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 41.6% expected score (182 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 43.6% expected score (14 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 49.1% expected score (56 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (3,344 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.4% expected score (1,527 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 41.8% expected score (236 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (7 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.4% expected score (50 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (5,871 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 43.3% expected score (1,634 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 45.8% expected score (212 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 44.8% expected score (27 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 45.5% expected score (6,153 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 41.4% expected score (924 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.5% expected score (87 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (12 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 43.4% expected score (4,574 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 40.7% expected score (281 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 38.6% expected score (16 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 43.7% expected score (895 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 32.6% expected score (10 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Nimzo-Larsen Attack
51.1%
Variations (5)
Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Classical Variation
50.2%
Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Dutch Variation
50.6%
Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation
50.2%
Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Graz Attack
49.4%
Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Indian Variation
49.2%
Analyze Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Pachman Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Pachman Gambit win rate?

The Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Pachman Gambit has a 44.6% (90% CI: 44.1%-45.0%) win rate for white, based on 33K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Pachman Gambit perform best?

The Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Pachman Gambit performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 49.3% win rate for white (1.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Pachman Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (45.0%) outperforms Rapid (41.3%) by 3.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Pachman Gambit?

The Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Pachman Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.1 (very decisive), meaning 97.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Pachman Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Pachman Gambit has a 42.4% (90% CI: 39.3%-45.5%) win rate for white, based on 698 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Pachman Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Pachman Gambit has a 49.3% (90% CI: 46.9%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Pachman Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Pachman Gambit has a 46.7% (90% CI: 44.9%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Pachman Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Pachman Gambit has a 46.2% (90% CI: 44.8%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 3.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Pachman Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Pachman Gambit has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.1%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 5.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Pachman Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Pachman Gambit has a 44.6% (90% CI: 43.7%-45.6%) win rate for white, based on 7.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Pachman Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Pachman Gambit has a 43.3% (90% CI: 42.3%-44.2%) win rate for white, based on 7.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Pachman Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Pachman Gambit has a 41.5% (90% CI: 40.3%-42.6%) win rate for white, based on 4.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Pachman Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Pachman Gambit has a 41.0% (90% CI: 38.3%-43.7%) win rate for white, based on 907 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Pachman Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Pachman Gambit has a 46.5% (90% CI: 41.1%-52.0%) win rate for white (223 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.7%.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Pachman Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Pachman Gambit has a 45.0% (90% CI: 44.5%-45.6%) win rate for white (25K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Pachman Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Pachman Gambit has a 43.5% (90% CI: 42.5%-44.5%) win rate for white (7.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Pachman Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Pachman Gambit has a 41.3% (90% CI: 38.9%-43.7%) win rate for white (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

Is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Pachman Gambit a good opening?

The Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Pachman Gambit is slightly favors black with a 44.6% (90% CI: 44.1%-45.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.