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King's Indian Attack

12 variations · 8.5M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Key Finding

King's Indian Attack gives White a 53.8% expected score — a strong opening choice.

With a minimum advantage of 7.5%, this opening reliably outperforms the baseline 50% expected score.

You play
Play This
Rating
Time
White Expected Score0.0%Range (90% confident): 53.8% – 53.8%Aggregated from 12 variations
0%53.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.8% – 53.8%
ContextOverall · n=8.5M
Outcome Distribution
51.3%5.0%43.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
2.g3
King's Indian Attack
Variations12
Games (Context)8.5M
Avg Length37 moves
Draw Rate5.0%

What Should I Play?

Player-controlled continuations for White · Overall

#1King's Indian Attack: Smyslov VariationTop Pick
1.Nf3 Nf6 2.g3 g6 3.b4
Min adv +8.4% · n=8.4K
55.1%
#2King's Indian Attack
1.Nf3 d5 2.g3
Min adv +7.5% · n=4.4M
53.8%

Continuations show the most common variations from this opening. Higher expected scores indicate better statistical outcomes, but familiarity and playstyle matter too.

What is the King's Indian Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

Overall, the King's Indian Attack family has a 53.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.8% and 53.8%), aggregated from 12 variations and 8.5M Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 49% → 52%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.2% win rate (215,607 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.7% win rate (350,973 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.9% win rate (525,418 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.9% win rate (790,727 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.9% win rate (1,112,041 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.2% win rate (1,460,849 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.4% win rate (1,643,469 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.8% win rate (1,745,232 games)
  • 2500+: 52.4% win rate (669,909 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (54%), worst in Classical (50%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 53.5% win rate (116,797 games)
  • Bullet: 52.1% win rate (4,178,831 games)
  • Blitz: 50.6% win rate (3,423,272 games)
  • Rapid: 49.8% win rate (763,314 games)
  • Classical: 49.7% win rate (32,011 games)

Rating vs Time Control Matrix

Click cells to filter · White expected scores

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 54.3% expected score (624 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (56,647 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (109,459 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 51.5% expected score (48,528 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 52.0% expected score (349 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 54.8% expected score (2,224 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (106,988 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (167,010 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (73,377 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 51.4% expected score (1,374 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 54.4% expected score (6,774 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (181,065 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (233,195 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (100,839 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 52.0% expected score (3,545 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 53.5% expected score (20,082 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (291,451 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (347,149 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.9% expected score (125,046 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 53.0% expected score (6,999 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 54.3% expected score (36,052 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (425,366 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (506,225 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (136,000 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 51.9% expected score (8,398 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 55.4% expected score (33,372 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (635,394 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (658,147 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.0% expected score (127,069 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 53.2% expected score (6,867 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 57.0% expected score (13,066 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (801,131 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (730,937 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.2% expected score (95,078 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 58.1% expected score (3,257 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 58.7% expected score (4,085 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (1,120,858 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.2% expected score (564,978 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.6% expected score (54,266 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 59.7% expected score (1,045 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 64.7% expected score (518 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (559,931 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.1% expected score (106,172 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 58.7% expected score (3,111 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 55.4% expected score (177 games)

Matrix view reveals how performance varies across rating brackets and time controls. Green indicates favorable, red indicates challenging contexts.

Variations (12)

1
King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation907K games
55.6%
2
King's Indian Attack: Smyslov Variation8.4K games
55.1%
3
King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation333K games
54.1%
King's Indian Attack: Omega-Delta Gambit192K games
54.0%
King's Indian Attack4.4M games
53.8%
King's Indian Attack: French Variation808K games
53.8%
King's Indian Attack: Yugoslav Variation350K games
53.4%
King's Indian Attack: Symmetrical Defense1.1M games
52.9%
King's Indian Attack: Wahls Defense331K games
52.8%
King's Indian Attack: Double Fianchetto80K games
52.6%
King's Indian Attack: Spassky Variation39K games
52.2%
King's Indian Attack: Pachman System21K games
51.6%
Analyze King's Indian Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Indian Attack win rate?

The King's Indian Attack family has a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.3%-51.3%) win rate for white, aggregated from 12 variations and 8.5M rated games from Lichess.

How many King's Indian Attack variations are there?

This analysis covers 12 King's Indian Attack variations with sufficient game data. Each variation has its own statistics page with detailed win rates by rating and time control.

At what rating does the King's Indian Attack perform best?

The King's Indian Attack family performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 52.4% win rate for white (670K games). Performance may vary by specific variation.

Is the King's Indian Attack better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (53.5%) outperforms Classical (49.7%) by 3.8% across all King's Indian Attack variations.

How sharp is the King's Indian Attack?

King's Indian Attack games are 95.0% decisive (non-draws), with an average length of 37 moves. Sharpness varies by specific variation.

Is the King's Indian Attack a good opening family?

The King's Indian Attack family is statistically favors white overall with a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.3%-51.3%) aggregated win rate. However, win rates vary significantly between the 12 variations—explore individual lines to find the best fit for your style.